Caucasus without Russia will take a long fall into fiery abyss
In my July 1st SITREP, I outlined the major breaking points for Russia and its allies that the Western analysts recommend to attack.
There are two ways to decode these utterances, the first is to understand that when NATO accuses Russia of doing something it’s an admission that NATO’s actually doing it. For example, when they say that NATO would “endorse a defense capacity building package to help Moldova,” he meant that Moldova and Transnistria are to be a new front.
The second way to decode the Western think tanks’ list of “Russia’s breaking points,” is to understand that the West will be inserting pressure onto these particular points.
With the failed attempt of the June color revolution in Armenia, the US, NATO, and EU countries have opened a second South front in the war on Russia. It’s consistent with what Chatham House recommended in June.
Armenia is not just deciding the fate of Armenians, but also the entire Western civilization.
Everyone understands by now that any country whose government does not subordinate their interests to those of the US are likely to be targeted for regime change.
As always, for our readers who are interested in the situation in Ukraine rather than in the Hegemon’s war against Russia, you can skip the Caucasus SITREP and go directly to the Ukraine SITREP.
Thank you for your time.
Caucasus Without Russia: Yesterday, Today, Tomorrow
A major analysis by a Prominent Russian Commentator Rostislav Ishchenko
Thanks to J. Hawk and fortruss for translating.
Кавказ без России: вчера, сегодня, завтра Ростислав Ищенко, президент Центра системного анализа и прогнозирования. Here it’s in Russian
Ukraine, Armenia… next is Turkmenistan
1. How Turkmenistan Can Alter the Russia -West Standoff [Source]
2. June 26, 2015 -Here is the Stratfor analysis on Turkmenistan [Source]
“Turkmenistan’s strategic importance has increased in light of Russia’s weakened position and the West’s more assertive actions in challenging Moscow in its near abroad.”
“Turkmenistan’s decision to either remain aloof from Europe’s attempts to diversify from Russian energy or to commit officially to participating in the Southern Corridor could have significant consequences. Ashgabat is likely to hold its cards close to its chest as long as it can, but watching for any indications of which direction Turkmenistan is leaning will be tremendously important to gauging the fate of the broader conflict between Russia and the West.”
To “help” Turkmenistan to decide, the US and NATO are assembling an army of linguists and analysts, specializing in this area.
The US offers a regular set of propaganda that has not changed for the past 100 years: Stifled society, a pro-Russia president, cult of personality, human rights violation [Source]
In addition, the US, CIA and NATO are pounding a 100 year anniversary of 1916, when Kyrgyz nomads rose up against a World War I-era conscription. The US is preparing a huge uprising against Russians and the pro-Russian government in 2016. “While Kyrgyzstan largely remains pro-Russia, Rickleton writes, “1916 has become a political football in parliament,” featuring nationalists and those opposed to Kyrgyzstan joining the EEU, and Kyrgyz pushing back on the “perceptions it is again becoming a Russian colony.”
My analysis of the US government job market revealed that the specialists in this region, especially linguists, are in the most demand.
3. Russian expert mistakenly believes that Radicalization in Uzbekistan isn’t connected with Islamic state [Source]
Эксперт: Не связывайте радикализацию в Узбекистане с Исламским государством. По мнению политолога Рустама Бурнашева, система поддержки сил НАТО в Афганистане не требует создание военной базы в Узбекистане — но ситуация может измениться в среднесрочной перспективе.
“Political analyst Rustam Burnashev writes that the NATO will prevent ISIS from taking over Afghanistan and moving north to Uzbekistan. That’s why Uzbekistan doesn’t need a Russia’s military base, at least not yet. ”
This attitude is extremely wrong and very dangerous. It’s in NATO’s plans to infiltrate ISIS into Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan, and Turkmenistan.
4. Askar Akaev, one of the inventors of mathematical modeling of the World Systems and an ex-president of Kirkizia. Askar Akaev: Kirgizia is drowning in nationalism, feudalism, and drug trafficking [Source]
Аскар Акаев: Киргизия погружается в национализм и феодализм с наркотрафиком. Интервью экс-президента Киргизии Аскара Акаева ИА REGNUM
5. Kyrgyzstan Government told to ensure ‘smooth sailing for Centerra Gold’s Kumtor mine [Source]
Kirgystan government gives go ahead to the Canadian company to operate a gold mine that accounts for 60% of the nation’s industrial output.
“Earlier this year, rumors circulated pointing to an imminent nationalization of the mine, which was later denied by Kyrgyzstan authorities.”
6. Azerbaijan is on the way to Euro-Atlantic integration [Source]
“Region needs a new architecture of security, that would coordinate all the Caucasus region countries, including Armenia, in one anti-Russia region” is a narration of local pro-NATO NGOs.
Azerbaijan is allied with Israel in its war against the Middle East. In NE Azerbaijan there are very large Jewish communities that have been funneling millions into groups within Georgia for years to undermine its Government and peoples natural relations with Russia.
7. Urgent appeal to Armenian authorities – Phillip Ekoz’yants [Source]
Thanks to our commentator Fedor on July 02, 2015 • at 2:06 am UTC
8. South Ossetian President: Riots in Armenia designed to ‘squeeze’ Russia out of Caucasus [Source]
June 29, – It is impossible to call the current events in Armenia, which is Russia’s friend and partner, incidental, South Ossetian President Leonid Tibilov says
9. Erevan Police ask remaining protesters to clear Bagramyan Avenue, or the Police will use its mandate [Source]
Полиция призывает разблокировать проспект Баграмяна, пообещав в противном случае воспользоваться своими полномочиями –
Erevan police reminded that by blocking the Prospect, protesters violating the constitutional rights of the citizens for peaceful enjoyment, and the use of the city’s facilities.
According to the police meeting, organized by the citizens expressing dissatisfaction with the increase in electricity prices was illegal and took place on June 19-22, 2015 without observance of procedure prescribed by the Republic of Armenia law “On freedom of Assembly.”
The police of the Republic of Armenia States that any manifestation of the right to free Assembly, regardless of the nature, the essence of the requirements of the participants or the relationship of the latter to the satisfaction of these requirements must conform to the Constitution of the Republic of Armenia, the law “On freedom meetings and other normative acts.”
“In this regard, the right to free Assembly cannot be absolute in a democratic society and may be limited in favor of the protection of public order and protection of freedoms, including normal traffic”, – said in a statement.
The police noted that any meeting should have a beginning and an end, and it should be temporary. “Furthermore, the right to free Assembly does not include the mandatory satisfaction of the requirements presented during the meeting,” said the police, adding that the organizers and participants of the meeting had sufficient time to submit their claims and presenting them to the society, to the competent authorities and officials.
In these circumstances, the statement syas, one of the main transport routes of the city of Yerevan, which provides a daily movement for thousands of people, including work, recreation, and the satisfaction of other essential needs, continues to be blocked indefinitely.
Moreover, on the roadway and sidewalks Baghramian Avenue are objects or other obstacles that impede the free the movement of public transport and pedestrians,” said the police
10. On July 2nd, in Erevan Armenia. About 200 protesters remain [Source]
11. Armenia sees abortive attempt at orange revolution – analysts [Source]
12. Armenia – Caucasus and Radical Islamism [Source]
Armenia: Final rehearsal before premier?
Expert opinion of a military analytic Alexey Zotiev
13. Andrey Areshev: Ukraine Nationalists fought with Azerbaijan against Armenia [Source]
Активисты Майдана воевали против армян Карабаха
Oligarch Petro Poroshenko, who financed coup in Kiev, stated, “If necessary, Ukraine definitely will support Azerbaijan.”
Thus, the Armenian community in the Northern Caucasus (and Central Asia) can be in the midst of the conflict, typologically close to the Syrian. After all, is not accidental on the Maidan, in addition to the flags of some countries of the South Caucasus, was spotted symbolism organizations, very active in the middle East. In some mass media there was mention of the fact that the leader of the militants “Right sector” Dmytro Yarosh together with Doku Umarov organized camp for terrorists in Zakatala region of Azerbaijan, intending to use it “graduates” including for operations against the NKR. And oligarch Petro Poroshenko, a business structure which largely funded the Kiev coup, stated bluntly: “if necessary Ukraine definitely will support Azerbaijan”.
14. Sink or Swim: Can the EAEU Survive for the Long Haul? [Source]
15. Why Armenia turned to Russia instead of the West [Source]
Armenian President Serzh Sargsyan: Armenians are suffering now from the rift between Russia and the West, he said, in three ways: Armenian exports to Russia, Russian investment in Armenia and remittances from Armenians working in Russia — which account for one-fifth of Armenia’s GDP — all are down. This hurts in a country of 3 million people that in 2013 ranked 152nd in the world in income per person.
But, he added, “had we not acceded to the Eurasian Union, we would have faced more painful problems.”
16. International Military Review – Syria, July 1, 2015 [Source]
17. Azerbaijani troops kill Armenian soldier: Armenian government [Source]
18. Afghan is a springboard for Islamists [Source]
Афганский трамплин исламистов
Military analysis of the situation in Afghanistan after the meeting of President Putin with the former president of Afghanistan Hamid Karzai.
“Russia concerned by the situation in Afghanistan, said Wednesday the President of Russia Vladimir Putin at a meeting with the former President of Afghanistan Hamid Karzai. “Now we see the processes that are very alarming. The Taliban is active, controls much of the territory of the country. But even more troubling is so-called “Islamic state” that is actively working in Afghanistan, and becoming more confident here”, said the Russian leader.”
“It’s not a secret that ISIS is not limiting itself with some Afghan provinces. They proclaim that their task is to go North, and to “liberate primordial Islamic territories.” Their plans are extensive. At first, they want to conquer bordering Afghanistan state, then Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan, and then they aim at populated by Muslims territories of Russia.”
Ukraine
Kiev junta continues to do everything possible to keep the Ukraine NATO war going
1. Ukraine leader lays out vision of new war-time constitution [Source]
July 2 – “Kiev (AFP) – Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko on Wednesday proposed constitutional changes giving sweeping powers to the regions but critically failing to address demands of pro-Russian militants in the separatist east.
Poroshenko’s new vision of the ex-Soviet state’s basic law trims presidential controls over the provinces and extends to local towns and councils the right to oversee how their tax revenues are spent.
But it also refuses to add to the constitution the semi-autonomous status demanded by insurgency leaders who control an industrial edge of Ukraine that is home to 3.5 million people and accounts for a tenth of its economic output.
“The president is not ready to inscribe (the separatist regions’) separatist status in the basic law,” said International Centre for Policy Studies’ analyst Anatoliy Oktysyuk.”
2. Ukraine: Multiple protests converge at Kiev’s Verkhovna Rada [Source]
3. Ukraine: Protesters call on US to “get out of Ukraine” [Source]
Jul 1, 2015 Around 500 protesters gathered outside the US embassy in Kiev to hold an anti-war and anti-US rally, Wednesday.
Protesters call to stop the USA war on the territory of Ukraine.
Donetsk People Republic, Lugansk People Republic, Donbass, Novorossia
1. Lugansk People’s Republic does not depend on gas supplies from the territory of Ukraine [Source]
1st of July, 2015. Lugansk People’s Republic, Novorossiya.
Lugansk People’s Republic does not depend on gas supplies from the territory of Ukraine, the head of the LPR Igor Plotnitsky told correspondents of the Lugansk information Center today.
“We will be provided with gas regardless of whether Ukraine pays for Russian gas or not, whether it suspends Russian gas purchases or not. Believe me, there is no any problem for us. Ukraine has long demanded from the Russian Federation to cut off gas supplies to Donbass. Moreover, Ukraine doesn’t pay for our gas, although all the contracts stipulate it. Kiev authorities have decided to suspend Russian gas purchases, because they have no money to pay,” – Igor Plotnitsky said.
On February 19, 2015, Ukraine cut off gas supplies to the Donetsk and Lugansk People’s Republics. On the same day, Russia started direct gas supplies to the Republics.
Today, Russian energy giant Gazprom has shut the valves for gas deliveries to Ukraine, as Ukraine has not made a prepayment for July. As a result, Ukraine’s Naftogaz made a decision to suspend purchases of natural gas from Russia’s Gazprom starting July 1.
2. 1st Slavyansk brigade “Vikings” combat footage [eng subs] [Source]
3. Rallies in memory of the residents of Staraya Kondrashovka killed during an air strike of the Ukrianian forces on July 2, 2014 [Source]
2nd of July, 2015. Lugansk People’s Republic, Novorossiya.
Rallies in memory of the residents of Staraya Kondrashovka killed during an air strike of the Ukrianian forces on July 2, 2014, took place in the Republic today. Citizens of Lugansk held a rally near a damaged residential house on Kotyubinskogo street.
“Last summer, this place was regularly shelled by the Ukrainian armed forces, so we’ve gathered here to show all the horrors caused by the war,” – Manolis Pilavov stressed.
According to him, Kiev authorities haven’t yet taken measures that are stipulated by the Minsk Accords.
“Both the Ukrainian public and the world community have to force the Kiev government to implement the Minsk agreements. Unfortunately, there won’t be peace in Donbass until it happens,” – Manolis Pilavov added.
4. Lugansk People Republic industries are oriented towards Russian and Asian markets [Source]
5. DPR Ministry of Transport has launched three new bus-routes that will connect the Republic with Moscow, Yalta and Taganrog [Source]
2nd of July, 2015. Donetsk People’s Republic, Novorossiya.
The DPR Ministry of Transport has launched three new bus-routes that will connect the Republic with Moscow, Yalta and Taganrog, the press service of the DPR Ministry of Transport told the Donetsk News Agency yesterday.
“Donetsk-Yalta and Donetsk-Moscow buses will depart daily from Yuzhniy bus station at 13:00 and 10:00, respectively. The buses go to the Russian border through Makeyevka, Khartsyzsk, Illovaysk, Uspenka. Donetsk-Yalta bus goes in the direction of Kerch and Feodosia, Donetsk-Moscow bus goes through Voronezh. Snezhnoye-Taganrog bus departs daily from a local bus station at 05:45, it goes through Marinovka and Russia’s Matveyev Kurgan,” – the DPR Ministry of Transport said.
6. Fights In Donbass 01.07.2015
Russia and Beyond
1. On Saturday, America will celebrate the 4th of July Independence Day. It’s not an independence from a space aliens invasion, as I have previously thought. Independence Day the movie is not a documentary, as I was told. Will Smith did not save the world by smoking a large cigar. However, everything else stays true to reality, since community theater productions is what the US does the best. Every year on the 4th of July the US stages a grand announcement of a summer blockbuster movie or a new Defense strategy to appoint enemies to its shrinking supremacy. This year its ISIS and Russia.
If Will Smith’s movie to be any proof, it’s easier to fight enemies you made up yourself. So, Washington paid for creation, training, arming, and media campaign of a mercenary community’s production called ISIS, which is a pet name for the irregular troops of NATO. To see images of the US senator John McCain and other Mossad agents posing with the known ISIS fighters, just search online.
The Head of the Russia’s military intelligence GRU Colonel-General Igor Sergun accused the US and its allies of creating the transnational “Islamist” terrorist network. You can read his speech here.
“Secret Pentagon report reveals West saw ISIS as strategic asset Anti-ISIS coalition knowingly sponsored violent extremists,” read about that here.
Whilst, the US didn’t create Russia, it was Russian Empire that supported the new world colonies and took part in the creation of the USA.
Russian presidential press secretary Dmitry Peskov promised today to respond in kind, with a well phrased paper. [Source]
Will the US be named as an enemy of Russia #1?
Peskov suggested that it would be appropriate to wait until the a new edition of Russia’s national security document is finalized.
“Certainly, all threats to Russia’s national security are being taken into consideration, they are being analyzed, and relevant countermeasures will be envisioned,” he said.
2. Finland is turning from a pretend friend to an open foe [Source]
Historical note: OSCE, Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe, was created by the initiative of the USSR in 1973. The headquarter of OSCE should be located in Russia, and not in Europe.
Finland Violated International Law By Banning Russian Official From Conflict Prevention Summit, Russian Foreign Ministry Says [Source]
After consulting the European Union, Finland opted to ban Russian parliamentary speaker Sergey Naryshkin from attending the Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe’s parliamentary assembly in Helsinki.
Finnish ambassador in Moscow summoned to the Russian Foreign Ministry [Source]
July 01 – The Russian side regards as unacceptable the Finnish authorities decision to deny entry visas to Russian State Duma Speaker Sergey Naryshkin and another five members of the Russian delegation.
3. Russia ready to return over 20 Ukrainian ships based in Crimea to Ukraine [Source]
According to a source at the General Staff of the Russian Navy, the Ukrainian ships are deployed at the Russian Black Sea Fleet’s home bases, fully isolated and not used in everyday activities
4. Belarus feels threatened by NATO buildup on its borders in Ukraine, Poland, and in Lithuania [Source]
July 2 – “We must be prepared to repel any external aggression, gunpowder must always be kept dry,” President Lukashenko added.
Lukashenko also said that the Eurasian Economic Union’s large-scale project is the ability to overcome crises and find new paths for development.
The Eurasian Economic Union is an economic union which is comprised of Russia, Belarus, Kazakhstan, Armenia and Kyrgyzstan.
5. Ousted from the Russian Senate, Leonid Lebedev risks sinking his billion-dollar US lawsuit, and more [Source]
“Under anti-corruption measures introduced by the Kremlin in 2013, high state officials are prohibited from holding offshore assets; they are also obliged to report the sources and amounts of their income.
The Lebedev case is the first to test whether the Kremlin intends to prosecute concealment offences by state officials, and whether they can escape the long arm of the law by resigning their posts as soon as their game is up.”
“A request by the Russian authorities to MOKAS, their Cyprus counterpart for money-laundering investigations of Politically Exposed Persons (PEPSs), would produce definitive evidence – and put Lebedev’s London and New York claims in a light he cannot have intended. MOKAS says if Moscow asks, it’s happy to oblige.”
6. Another good news from Russia is a reported decline in political influence of Deputy Prime Minister Arkady Dvorkovich [Source]
” Arkady Dvorkovich is a Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev’s protégé. Magomedov, sources in the maritime sector say confidentially, is unable to raise financing for his Summa group in the US or Europe, and Dvorkovich and Medvedev have been unable to help him with money from the Russian state banks. Dvorkovich is now thinking of a job outside the government, the sources add. ”
“Kommersant also reported that government and state corporate support will no longer be considered for any Russian project in the Netherlands, or in other European states imposing sanctions on Russia. That includes countries in which there is a risk of court injunctions or asset arrests as part of the Yukos litigation campaign.”
I reported about Arkady Dvorkovich here in relation to HSE – Higher School of Economics in connection to the Washington and Pentagon funded neo-con mob that was gathering in Moscow at exact time for the St-Petersburg Economic Forum.
In the most amazing Revers de Fortune, Dvorkovich and his mob of the pro-West oligarchs occupied the key positions in westward oil and gas, diamonds, and other natural resources transfer from Russia.
After the West imposed sanctions to punish Russians and to oust Putin; Russia redirected most of the transfers from Europe to eastward and southern directions, across the Sea of Japan and the Caspian Sea, for port loading and tanker shipment of oil, bypassing Europe. To add insult to injury, Russia canceled all of its support to business projects with NATO/EU countries, making those powerful pipe-sitters with their American and European deputies obsolete. If this is not a material for an ancient Greek comedy, I don’t know what is.
7. It’s a Western cultural paradigm that commerce is a continuation of war [Source]
Today, Wednesday July 2, 2015 at 1500 CEST, WikiLeaks continues publishing documents from the secret ongoing TiSA (Trade in Services Agreement) negotiations, with four Chapters in key areas ahead of the next negotiating round on Monday: Electronic Commerce, Telecommunications Services, Financial Services and Maritime Transport Services.
I have been saying several times the EU countries’ leaders/people in power are being kind of blackmailed. Now even an ex-FBI agent says the same thing:
http://sputniknews.com/analysis/20150702/1024135931.html
The sad news is that in most cases blackmail isn’t really required as most figure heads in Europa have either hollow brains or flat brains, and some of them have both.
Now think about it, how is that even possible – something being flat and hollow at the same time? It truely boggles the mind.
Ukraine/ Caucus sitrep 6/2/15: Thanks Scott for the very timely inclusion of a section on the Caucasus and I hope that you continue this. Also the update on HSE/Arkady Dvorkovich. Your research and scholarship is greatly appreciated.
Here is an informative article from Counterpunch linking the treatment of the Greek people with TPP and the shafting of the American people
http://www.counterpunch.org/2015/07/02/the-birthplace-greece-v-the-farce-the-united-states-of-democracy/
Does it seem to anyone else that these ISIS people have conquered (or are busy working on it) an area as large has Rommel’s Afrika Corps controlled during WWII. Rommel had the support of 2 of the greatest military powers of the day (not enough support,but still some).He had thousands (several hundred thousand) of very tough fighters.An air force with good pilots.The at least tacit support of the governments in the areas he controlled (and of many of the population as well).And faced a determined tough British,Free French,Australian,and New Zealand enemy.And yet he was winning most battles.Until the US attacked from the rear with thousands of fresh troops and combined with the others (and his not being able to get replacement troops),overwhelmed his army. While ISIS (at least officially) has no real support from military powers.Only equipment they have,is captured equipment (or so the story goes).No air force at all.And while they have some support from the local population,none at all from the governments of the countries they are attacking.Yet they keep advancing.And we see how the World says they are afraid of them moving into more countries.Does anyone else see this as “odd”.
As I see the problem,its not the prowess of ISIS that is the problem.The problem is,to be nice, the “non-prowess” of the armies they face.All the Arab armies “again to be nice” are political armies,not professional “blood and guts” armies.We have a situation almost the reverse of the Ukraine civil war.Where ISIS is the NAF and the Arab government armies are the junta forces (except even less skilled).What is needed to defeat and totally exterminate them is the use of “professional” troops.I’m not sure how good the Iranian military is (they claim to be).If not surely their are Russian and Chinese troops up to the job.A good start might be for they and Russia and China to do something.If Russia and China (and Iran) don’t want these ISIS thugs poaching on their territory now is the time to stop them.There are reports that ISIS are attacking and killing Taliban in Afghanistan.And taking over territory they occupied as their territory now.So it would appear to me now might be a time for the Afghan government (backed up by the three I mentioned) to talk to the Taliban about a ceasefire and combining attacks on these ISIS clowns.I doubt the Taliban like their territory being muscled in on,and their men killed by ISIS.
Certainly there are political and social reforms badly needed in those countries.But for those to take place the countries have to survive.The most important job is to exterminate ISIS.Islam has faced many “heresies” in the past,and ISIS is another one.The others were eliminated,and this one can be too.But it takes work.And right now it seems that these countries aren’t putting in the work to do it.Why are the armies “taking back cities”,they should be killing foreign ISIS fighters.How many army strategists for centuries have said you don’t take back territory first.You destroy the enemies army to win a war.As far as I can tell not one country wants these ISIS butchers back home (certainly Russia and Kadyrov don’t want the Chechen terrorists back home).So the problem isn’t to capture them its to destroy them.Hence the need for a professional army to fight them.Until the countries threatened act to stop them.I’ll have to figure they aren’t really concerned,and this talk of them in Central Asia is BS to scare people.
I would readily agree that, on face value, the string of victories ISIS has had of late, is rather odd from a traditional military standpoint. However, after some layers are peeled back, the recent takfiri gains are easily explained. The short answer is, yes, they are that powerful.
Or rather, not ISIS per se, but everyone on their side of the with-us-or-against-us line in the sand. That is the disaffected and extremist Sunnis of Iraq and Syria, Turkey, Qatar, Saudi, UAE, Israel, the UK, France, Germany, and the US. In short, it’s Syria, Hezbollah, and Iran vs. the world.
Looking at a map, the Syrian government is fighting not a one or two front war, but one in which they are literally attacked from 360 degrees. From the south, ISIS lines run into Israel and Jordan. From the east, Iraq. From the north, Turkey. And from the West, the Sunnis of Lebanon. The only “friendly” territory bordering Syria now is the Hezbollah-controlled parts of the Bekaa Valley. And from these lines stream a seemingly endless supply of fighters, material, and cash. Hell, the US just gifted ISIS $1.3 billion in Humvees “stolen” from Iraq. Now, how can ISIS drive columns of vehicles through open desert to attack Ramadi with local commanders begging for airstrikes only to have *nothing* happen to them? Only with the absolute blessing of the US, Turkey, and the Gulfies. That’s not so much an inability of the Iraqis to fight so much as a designed failure.
As far as Hezbollah and Revolutionary Guards go, they are among the most professional and motivated fighting forces on the planet. You don’t build an army from scratch and knock around the “world’s best army” until they withdraw over the Blue Line out of dumb luck. While the Syrians may not be at the same operational level as the other two, they are looking down the barrel of a gun and they know it. And knowing you’ll be burned alive, wife raped, and children thrown down a well will do wonders for your fighting potential. That’s as “blood and guts” as it gets, politics has little to do with it.
The real difficulties in battling ISIS is guns and cash. More is getting to ISIS than the other side, by orders of magnitude. While Russia or China could step in directly, cooler heads are taking the less obvious route. Just like in Ukraine, no one in Moscow has the stomach for the political consequences of boots on the ground. However, just as no boots in Donbas doesn’t mean Russia is selling out Novorossia, the same holds for Syria. Just as Moscow will open the voentorg to keep the Donbas from collasping, they will continue to supply Damascus enough to stave off an implosion. Meanwhile, I’m sure backroom dealings abound as Moscow works to stop Turkish support (signed Turk Stream, then North Stream 2.0 to keep screws turning) and Saudi backing (Putin headed to Riyadh with official invite in hand, talk of mega business and tech deals).
The short and sweet of it is, ISIS is going nowhere until it’s supply lines are cut off. That’s step one. Then the mopping up can begin in earnest.
I don’t trust any Saudi deal.With the Saudis (the Gulf States, and Turkey as well) its not all business and politics.They can’t stand the idea of Shia having any power in the Arab World.They consider the Shia as “heretics” and puppets of Iran.And it hurts their “religious principals” at the very idea of that continuing.The pipeline squabble was just icing on the cake.You can’t trust any “deal” they are willing to make.They look at the World with the eyes that Europe stopped using several centuries ago.Not since the Thirty Years War in fact.
Uncle Bob,
The way to defeat ISIS is to stop the supply lines. We know supplies are flown in to Turkey & Jordan, and cross their borders. Stop the supplies and they’re done. The supplies have not been stopped in years of fighting. You know why? Because Iran (& sometimes Syria) are the only ones who are willing to name the suppliers.
I doubt we can muster the public outrage to stop suppliers who are “out partners.”
No,we can’t expect any help from the West.When you supply them and fund them.Its doubtful you then will help stop them.But that is where the Spetsnaz and Iranians come in.They should be able to take a “bite” out of those supply lines if they want to.
Thanks, Scott, and thanks for yesterday’s also. Both excellent.
tit for tat… yukos verdict for a life on the run
July 3, 2015 – Khodorkosky has been accused of murder in a high-profile case involving the death of a Siberian mayor. Mikhail Khodorkosky, the former head of the now defunct YUKOS oil firm, was in jail for financial shenanigans since 2005.
Pardoned and released in 2013, he now lives in Switzerland where he funds an anti- Russian neo-con movement that aims to challenge Vladimir Putin and to bring Russia back under the Washington dictate.
But he could soon find himself back in court once more after being named by investigators as being involved in the murder of a politician in 1998.
more here:
Neftyugansk mayor murder inquiry resumed, Khodorkosky could have ordered the killing – Russian Investigative Committee
http://rbth.com/news/2015/06/30/neftyugansk_mayor_murder_inquiry_resumed_khodorkosky_could_have_ordered_47349.html
@ Scott,
Thank you for your tireless efforts to pump out all these sitreps. It must be a tedious ‘job’ to say the least, so come here and let me give you a BIG bear hug.
OT
For some odd reason, many harbors use bumper tires…, not cars…
After consulting the European Union, Finland opted to ban Russian parliamentary speaker Sergey Naryshkin from attending the Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe’s parliamentary assembly in Helsinki.
This isn’t really unexpected as Sergei Naryshkin has been on the EU sanctions list for more then a year now.
I suspect that the banning of rus.parliamentary attendees is because usa or Finland did not want Poro to be challenged in any way at his organised presentation to beg the west for more sanctions….especially with a delegation from the US congress present….Duma has become increasingly vocal in recent weeks and I almost feel ,publicly saying they are getting very fed up and annoyed…eg today Putin refers in an article in sputnik today to “geopolitical opponents” rather than his usual “partners” phrase…..
TiSA, the Services part of TTIP is so outrageous that it is to be kept secret for five years AFTER it’s signed!
TiSA provides that any service which has been privatized may not become public again. So if your city wants to buy back the water utility or the electricity service: It’s illegal! But if it’s presently public, like the post office, there’s no problem in privatizing it– but don’t even think about returning it to the public sphere. (I’m sure in time we can all say goodbye Medicare & Social Security & public hospitals & schools)
But do you see what else is included? Money-creation & regulation. It’s currently private, so TiSA provides that money-creation can never return to our Treasury nor to the people’s govt. The IMF/Fed system which consigns govts everywhere to borrow dollars at interest, instead of creating their own credit instruments, is to be made permanent.
http://firedoglake.com/2015/06/15/fast-track-hands-the-money-monopoly-to-private-banks-permanently/ by Ellen Brown
Scott, Thank you for another gret sitrep. I especially liked WikiLeaks on TiSA.
I don’t know how you keep up– so much happening.
Wanted to share this ..William Engdahl: The Birth of the New Russia https://www.youtube.com/watch?t=109&v=S8PIHjM34gY
This is on topic, considering Poroshenko was supposedly nominated. Shock to see in the story that Yulia Tymoshenko was, too. Sorry it’s a Yahoo link. But…. Nobel Peace Prize committee being investigated to see if they’re keeping to the rules.
http://news.yahoo.com/nobel-peace-prize-jury-under-investigation-152500580.html
That story is over three years old.Just how long does an “investigation” take anyway?
Ooops didn’t check the date. Good question. Turns out they made a recommendation just a month later, calling on them to keep closer to the terms of Noble’s will. That was it. It was just mentioned in passing in another demand for investigation, in 2014 http://blog.transnational.org/2014/04/criminal-investigation-of-the-nobel-peace-prize/ but I can’t see any results out of that either. A good article showing how dirty politics is involved also doesn’t give details http://english.pravda.ru/opinion/columnists/23-10-2014/128882-nobel_peace_prize-0/ business as usual in NWO land it seems.
It seems the “weak link” in Central Asia is as always Afghanistan.The only way the extremist terrorist elements can enter the rest of Central Asia is through Afghanistan.It borders on three of the other Republics.The only other countries that border that region are China,Russia,and Iran.None of them would allow those groups to cross their borders.They all three are powerful states.Far more powerful than the states making up Central Asia.So the security of the region is their responsibility.It is probably going to take a commitment of troops from those states to assure groups like ISIS aren’t coming in from Afghanistan.And working with Afghanistan in the Northern regions there to monitor those borders.Where Russia, and China in particular,have a big advantage is the influence they already have in those states (certainly true more for Russia,but China has the money and trade they need).They need to convince those governments to break ties with the West.That really shouldn’t be that hard.Most of the political leaders are ex-Soviet,so have longstanding ties with Moscow.Almost all the trade of those countries is with China or Russia.And they stand to make a lot of money off the Chinese “Silk Road” project.China and Russia starting last week,need to apply the screws to those countries to get those governments to get rid of the Western spy dens…er…I mean Western Embassies and Western backed NGO’s.Safety can only be guaranteed if they are gone from a country,sad but true.
300billion a year in missionaries shows Europe just put on sunglasses.
Suspect in killing of writer Oles Buzina has been rearrested, ie his $US230,000 bail has been cancelled. He is back in jail. This story has a picture of him in uniform with some sort of rocket on his shoulder. Looks like a skull and crossbones shoulder badge, must be one of the Right Sector ones. Odd, he looks like a happy and friendly young guy, not like a killer at all.
http://tass.ru/en/world/805591
Scott, don’t know if this info will be useful for you somehow, but I think it sure should get around. It’s information about U.S Operation Northwoods (1962) that shows the extent that the government will go with False Flags. Please note that it states other agencies would be giving ideas also.
Wikpedia gives info about it.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Northwoods
Here is the now unclassified copy of Operation Northwoods (1962) that was made public in 1998. It’ll make one cringe. I wonder if other governments are aware of this?
http://nsarchive.gwu.edu/news/20010430/northwoods.pdf
I’ve developed Internet Explorer issues with my computer – I think I’m bugged because I go to RT everyday – and I couldn’t download it using IE. I just used Google Crome. :-) Actually, IE won’t even let me click on links anymore. Just mentioning this in case others have the same issue.
This video also gives information on the planned false flags to get us into WWI and WW2. WW1 Lusitania attack similar to Flight MH17. Both set up to be attacked in enemy territory. WW2 provocations against Japan exactly like against Russia.
This info at 15:50 minutes to 20:33 minutes.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bKwO1onXAaI
Thank you for the work you do!
Sharon:
I use a Samsung smartphone. Found exactly the same problem a week after daily peeps at Russia Insider and other non-MSM sites.
I use Opera Yandex and Firefox (this latter because the former doesn’t support Disqus.)
Apparently the Hollande gov have now decided anyone using TOR to be automatically suspect.
They’ll probably expand on that.
Thanks eimar! I had downloaded FireFox before and had several issues including it kept saying to upgrade Flash Player, but it wouldn’t upgrade.
This time I downloaded it through Chrome and everything works. Thanks again because I tried it again due to your suggestion. Glad to not have to use spy Google Chrome anymore. :-) (ya, I’m paranoid. LOL)
Yes, I also have issues with my Samsung phone, but I figure it’s due to traitorous Comcast Cable Network.
UKRAINE SUES RUSSIA FOR DEATHS, DAMAGE
Ukraine is taking Russia to court for the deaths, damage to infrastructure, destruction of industry and loss of agriculture — in the DONBASS.
http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/europe/Ukraine-drags-Russia-to-International-Court-of-Justice-for-loss-of-human-life-and-economic-potential/articleshow/47923748.cms
(I’ll be down at my ER for a bit being treated for projectile vomiting).
Looks like Odessa is ‘Plan B’ since Sevastopol/Crimea didn’t pan out:
https://translate.googleusercontent.com/translate_c?depth=2&hl=en&nv=1&rurl=translate.google.com&u=http://news-front.info/2015/07/03/kosovskij-variant-dlya-odessy-yurij-selivanov/&usg=ALkJrhg0QPg3xjqzEwv0adzvdXpX9JGxWw
Add to this the latest from the SBU: Five Russian generals allegedly directing NAF.
Objections to the use of term ‘civil war’ by the BBC (!) and Vatican Press Office (!!) instead of ‘Russian aggression.’
As KK reports, demands by the junta for damages from Russia – way to project, eh?
(Might have to join you in ER KK…)
Looks like the neo-con Ukro appartchiks are desperately flogging the virtually dead horse.
And Yarosh (K’lo) snapping at Porky/Yats heels..maybe even the neo-con Poles are getting nervous..
I read that a high Ukrainian government official (I don’t remember if it was Poroshenko) said that if NATO didn’t help them .They would “have” to invade Russia on their own,and defeat her.I wonder if he would share whatever he’s smoking.
Thank you Scott.
The update on Dvorkovich was interesting as I noted he went against the Govt. line during the SPEF on an RT interview and at the time thought – hmm – he’s going to be out soon. Frankly, good riddance to him and his ilk.
Rgds,
Veritas