[This analysis was written for the Unz Review]
It would not be an exaggeration to say that the March 1st, 2018, speech of President Putin to the Federal Assembly, had a tectonic effect on the world public opinion. Initially, some tried to dismiss it as “Russian propaganda” and “bad CGI”, but pretty soon the reality hit hard, very hard: the Russians either had already deployed or were about to deploy weapon systems which were decades ahead of anything similar in the West and against which the West had no defensive measures.
For those interested in a good summary about these weapons, please check this rather well done RT video:
Testifying before the Senate Armed Services Committee, Air Force Gen. John Hyten, bluntly speaking of hypersonic weapons declared under oath that:
“Our defense is our deterrent capability. We don’t have any defense that could deny the employment of such a weapon against us, so our response would be our deterrent force, which would be the triad and the nuclear capabilities that we have to respond to such a threat.”
In plain English this means the following: there are only two ways to deter an attack – denial or punishment. Denial is when you prevent your adversary from striking you; punishment is when you make him pay dearly for the price of this attack. Punishment is a very tricky and undesirable situation, not only because it gives “escalation dominance” to the other side, but also because using nuclear capabilities against a peer or even higher than peer nuclear superpower like Russia basically entails collective suicide. Think of this in simple, practical terms. Say Russia disables or even sinks a US Navy carrier with a couple of hypersonic missiles. What would you do as a US President? The Russian Navy simply does not have as lucrative (and highly symbolic) target as a US aircraft carrier anyway, but even if you decided to strike at the Admiral Kuznetsov or the heavy nuclear missile cruiser Petr Velikii, would you risk using nukes even though the Russians might reply in kind? There is currently no US cruise missile capable of hitting, nevermind sinking, either the Kuznetsov or the Petr Velikii (who both have advanced air defenses which can easily defeat even a swarm of subsonic US anti-ship missiles, especially if they are escorted, which they will be).
The bottom line is this: the recent Russian advances in missile technology have basically made the US surface fleet pretty much useless in a conflict against Russia (and probably against China too). At the same time, Russian advances in air defenses have not only made the entire US ABM system basically useless, it also denies the USA the cornerstone of all its tactics: air superiority. This reality is slowly but surely sinking in. This means that many billions of US tax dollars have gone to waste. Not only that, but the entire US military strategy is now obsolete.
But there is more bad news for the AngloZionist Empire: in a recent interview by General Iurii Borisov, Deputy Prime Minister for Defense and Space Industry named six weapons systems which, in his opinion, have no counterpart in western arsenals. These include two almost never (or very rarely) mentioned before:
- The “Sarmat” heavy MIRVed ICBM
- The Sukhoi Su-57 aka “PAKFA”, the 5th generation jet fighter being developed for air superiority and attack operations
- The revolutionary T-14 “Armata” main battle tank
- The long-range S-500 air defense system
- The mobile anti-satellite system “Nudol“
- The ground-based mobile jamming system for satellite communications “Triada-2S“
While the first four systems listed have been known for a while, very little is known about the Nudol ASAT or the Triada-2S jamming systems. A couple of years ago, in 2015, The Washington Free Beacon wrote one article about the Nudol system entitled “Russia Flight Tests Anti-Satellite Missile Moscow joins China in space warfare buildup” but I did not find anything at all in English about the Triada-2S. There are a few articles published about these two systems in Russian however, and I will summarize them here beginning with the Nudol system
The Nudol weapons system
Artists’ representation of the Nudol weapons system
One Russian blogger posted what he says was a drawing of the Nudol system taken from an internal calendar of the Almaz-Antey Corporation. This is what Nudol is supposed to look like (see image). While still interesting, this image really reveals very little about Nudol. A transporter erector launcher (TEL) and two missile containers, just like in the S-300V, not much to go on. A Russian source identifies Nudol as part of a much larger system code-named “A-235/RTTs-181M/OKR Samolet-M” which is formed by integrating three separate systems, a long-range, intermediate range, and a short range. If true, this would indicate that while the Nudol missile launcher is mobile, it would probably have a targeting datalink from both mobile and fixed Russian air defense radars. In fact, the same source confirms that these systems will be fully integrated into the massive Don-2M (and, probably, the Voronezh and Darial) early warning radars. It appears that the Russians had been working on initial concepts for such a weapon system since the 1990s and that 30 years later, this system is still in development. However, some parts of it, such as the Nudol itself, seems to be near completion. It is also interesting to note here that the S-500 “Prometheus” system also mentioned by General Borisov, which is supposed to replace both the S-300s and the S-400s in the Russian armed forces also reportedly has (low-orbit) anti-satellite capabilities (along with anti-ballistic and anti-aircraft missile capabilities). While the specifics are still unclear, what appears to be happening is that the Russians have decided to build a multi-layered but fully integrated air defense, anti-ballistic and anti-satellite system and now that the USA has fully withdrawn from the ABM Treaty, they are preparing to deploy it in the ABM and ASAT segments in the next couple of years.
The Triada-2S system
It appears that, again, we are not dealing with one system here, but two: the mobile anti-satellite complex Rudolf and the mobile complex of radio electronic destruction of communication satellites Triada-2S. Russian sources refer to Rudolf as a mobile “strike” system implying the physical destruction of the targeted satellite while the Triada-2s appears to be destroying the satellite’s electronic communications (called “electronic suppression” in Russian terminology). Just as in the case of the Nudol, these systems appear to still be in the development phase and have not been accepted for deployment yet. It is worth mentioning here that the late Soviet Union had already developed some anti-satellite capabilities, including the ASAT rocket 79М6 (fired from a MiG-21D interceptor) and the Rokot/Nariad-V land-based rocket/missile system. This is all highly classified stuff and the specifics remain unclear, but the fact that work is continuing on these systems and that General Borisov has decided to publicly mention these systems indicate that the Russians are making a determined effort to develop a robust anti-satellite capability.
Porubshchik-2 – the newly revealed ASAT
In a recent article by RIA Novosti news agency yet another ASAT system is described: the Porubshchik-2. RT picked up on this article and posted this article in English. While the RT article focuses mostly on the new electronic warfare capabilities of this aircraft, the Russian text puts more emphasis on the fact that this EW aircraft will have ASAT capabilities. This system is still in development, but at the very least these show that the Russians are now developing a full array of anti-satellite systems.
Let’s add this all up
The Russian plan to counter the US military threat is becoming clearer and clearer with each passing day. I would summarize as follows:
| US Capability | Russian Response |
| ABM system | maneuverable hypersonic ballistic and very long-range cruise missiles |
| US aircraft carriers and surface fleet | maneuverable hypersonic ballistic and very long-range cruise missiles |
| US airpower and cruise missiles | advanced and integrated air defenses + 5th generation multirole fighters |
| US attack submarines | advanced diesel-electric/AIP submarines in littoral and coastal waters |
| US command, control, communications, networks, and satellites | electronic warfare and anti-satellite systems |
| US/NATO deployments near Russia | Tank Armies with T-14s, doubling of the size of the Airborne Forces, Iskander missiles (see here) |
| US nuclear forces | Deployment of a next-generation SSBNs, road-mobile and rail-mobile ICBMs, PAK-DA (next generation bomber) and ABM systems |
By targeting US space-based capabilities Russia is aiming at an exceedingly important and currently extremely fragile segment of the US armed forces and the impact of that cannot be overstated. It is already well known that the US military has almost no practice operating in a highly contested electronic warfare environment and that, in fact, US EW capabilities have stagnated over the years. In the age of advanced communication and network-centric warfare, the disruption or elimination of any meaningful segment of the US space-based capabilities would have a dramatic impact on US warfighting capabilities. Just like US tactical air is practically completely dependent on AWACs support, all the branches of the US military have grown accustomed to enjoying advanced command, control, communications, computers, intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance capabilities (C4ISR) and this is what the Russians want to deny them (and you can bet that the Chinese are working along the exact same lines).
This is not to say that Russia has achieved anywhere near full-spectrum dominance over the United States but it does mean that the United States has totally failed in its efforts to achieve anything near full-spectrum dominance over Russia and, therefore, over the rest of the planet. It is important to understand that while, for the USA, it is crucial to achieving superiority, for Russia it is enough to deny that superiority to the USA. Russia, therefore, has no need to achieve anything even remotely resembling full-spectrum dominance over the USA/NATO – all she needs to achieve is to make it impossible for the Empire to make her submit by force or threat of force.
The big problem of internal competition
Just as I had predicted in my article “Making Sense of the Russian 5th Generation Fighters in Syria” there is now high-level official statements indicating that Russia might only produce a limited amount of Su-57s. The reason? That the 4++ generation Su-35S is already very good good and much cheaper than the Su-57 and that Russian money should go towards developing a 6th generation multirole fighter. In other words, the main threat to the Su-57 program is not foreign competition (the Russians want to offer the Su-57 for export!), but internal competition. The same thing happened to the MiG-35 program (and before that to the MiG 1.44 project): they were beaten by Sukhoi. The MiG-35 appears to finally have been selected as a frontal aviation fighter, but the overall pattern is clear: unlike the USSR, Russia cannot afford to develop many similar or overlapping weapons systems at the same time. Some weapons systems will be produced in limited quantities while others might be canceled altogether.
Something similar will probably happen inside the Russian ASAT programs: projects will compete and not all will be deployed. Still, what is clear is that the Russians are working with a great deal of intensity on a number of different technologies whose purpose will be to take out US space capabilities in the early phases of any conflict. In contrast, the USA has spent so much money on very lucrative but useless weapons systems, that to restart a full-scaled ASAT program will take a lot of time (even if Trump has already declared that he wants to build “space forces” – check out this excellent commentary by Philip Giraldi on this topic), probably decades.
Modern weapon system developments have a huge “inertia”: they are hard to start, hard to develop and hard to stop once started. This is especially true for a profoundly corrupt and delusional Military-Industrial Complex (MIC) like the US one (see my review of Andrei Martyanov’s excellent book on this topic here). Considering the current crisis of the AngloZionist Empire and the trade/sanctions war Trump is currently waging on most of the planet, the chances of the US force planners correcting their past mistakes and adequately reacting to the new reality is probably very close to zero. Trump’s attempt to develop space forces is therefore yet another case of too little, too late. The gap between the advertised and the actual US military capabilities will only get bigger in the foreseeable future.
The Saker
Trump yesterday was touting the “best in the world” US armaments to his NATO ‘partners’. What a joke.
Trump has made it clear that one of the main jobs of a US President is to act as chief sales rep for US Merchants of Death. He is praised for his ‘successes’ such as selling a billion dollars worth of death to the Saudis.
Any decent used car salesman can give you a fine sounding spiel about how wonderful a car these used Yugos are and how the poor fool who wandered onto the used-car lot is really in luck because today they just happen to have one of these used Yugos available but the fool had better act fast because it won’t be available for long.
(Apologies to those who don’t have some gray hairs and don’t know what a Yugo was!)
That’s all Trump does. Tries to tell any fool with too much money just how wonderful the latest products from the US Merchants of Death are. Then the mafia thugs come around and tell the fool all the awful things that could happen to them if they make the ‘mistake’ of not buying the Godfather’s products at their inflated prices.
You would be surprised to see how many Yugo cars still run in the Balkan. Ishmael
true – I still see them in Serbia
Regarding SU-57 and SU-35 (formerly PAK-FA, which meant perspective aviation komplex …).
While SU-35 proved itself well, it is still an airplane used in a traditional combat way.
SU-57 is a flying weapon system that will change the way of air combat. Until the new way of computerized combat crystalizes, there is no point to use SU-57 as an airplane. The SU-35 can do such job just as well, for less.
But SU-57 must go on to to find out how to use new technology effectively. Without it you may dream out some sort of 6th generation, whatever that means … and waste your time.
I would guess that now that the F-35 has been revealed as an overly expensive weapon that isn’t very effective, then the plans to develop counters to what that plane was advertised to be can now be put on the back-burner and the money better spent in other areas.
After reading this paper I am now much more relaxed knowing that Russia will be able to defend and exact extreme damage to any enemy that may try its chances of claiming dominance over Russia, or world dominance. Russia needs to always remember that the US is not agreement capable and will turn on anyone like a rabid dog. I have an extreme feeling that war will not ever be started by Russia as per their previous experiences. I do feel a bit traitorous to my country with these thoughts as Australia is a vassal to the US but I extremely detest bullies.
Not traitorous at all. The vast majority of Australians and New Zealanders have no idea of how much bullshit the United States, through the western media, spins to retain support for its endless wars in Syria, Afghanistan, Libya Yugoslavia etc. You are a patriot and the more people that realize that a peaceful world is the goal of Russia and China but not the goal of the USA, the UK and NATO the better.
Kia Kaha ( Be Strong)
Ignorance is no excuse, especially in the age of the Internet. Besides once the ICBMs start flying nobody’s gonna care how “red-pilled” or ignorant the people where in this country or the other.
Absolutely spot on,couldn’t agree more with this comment. The days of ever accepting a word from the U.S. are long gone. Nothing, I repeat, NOTHING emmanting from the U.S. can ever again be taken as truth and relied upon.
From my perspective, ACTIONS speak louder than words, so when we begin to see ACTIONS emmanting from the U.S., maybe then their words could be re-examined for authenticity. Until that moment arrives, everything they say, is a LIE.
Couldn’t have said it better
As shown in this article, Russia is also developing a ground-breaking tank that, once perfected, could change the face of war:
https://viableopposition.blogspot.com/2018/07/russias-robot-tank-uran-9.html
Russia’s experiences during World War II have made it particularly sensitive to an overland invasion.
The question is whether the administration and the US military understand what Saker has so clearly spelled out here – namely that the idea of global complete dominance is dead for the foreseeable future. If this were understood, it would be time to sit down and cut a deal with Russia (and China) on how to divide up spheres of influence. Could this new understanding be part of the dynamics behind the upcoming Putin/Trump summit?
Well, what a disgrace for the rest of the world. Be at the expense of one superpower or another. Hopefully, there is a third way in the future that does not bet on being a vassal of Russians, Chinese or Americans.
Most advanced weapons systems, including ships and submarines at sea and planes and missiles in the air, are dependent upon satellites for navigation, command and control functions. Even though great strides are being made to infuse advanced weapons with internal guidance and computation abilities, space warfare will be the game-changing factor in any future war between advanced military powers.
It is not without reason that the United States is creating a Space Warfare command that is going to be separated from the US Air Force command. The USA has not promoted its own space warfare weapons systems; but that does not mean that there aren’t any nor that the US is far behind Russia in their development.
The United States has embarked on a long term and very destructive type of economic warfare against Russia and any country currently aligned with it. At the same time, it is playing on the allure of hedonism and material prosperity to the average person in Russia and its near abroad in order to weaken the popular will to persevere.
Russia does not have an adequate response to this type of warfare. It is losing its influence over the internal politics of Ukraine, the Balkans, and the Caucasian and the Central Asian Republics while -so far- it has held onto its influence in Belorussiya. It has demonstrated that there are limits to the support it will give to Iran and to Syria.
Russia has demonstrated that in many ways its military is superior to that of the United States. But, if this war is being fought without weapons, what good will superior weapons and personnel do for it?
The above list looks impressive, but it needs three additional columns to make it useful for evaluating Russian TOE (combat capabilities):
-1- How many of each will be deployed?
-2- When will they be deployed?
-3- How reliable are the systems?
The third point is critical — If cost and use of spare parts is high, or worse yet spares are unavailable, actual combat capability can be near zero. Ask the German military about this trap (A).
The reality of the situation is that the Russian Military Industrial Complex [MIC] has many of the same problems as the U.S. MIC. There are more needs & projects than funds, and decisions on how to proceed are often driven by budget & political concerns rather than battlefield effectiveness.
_______
Let us look at some of the systems mentioned:
The Su-57 program was effectively cancelled a week or two ago (B). Even if it comes back from the dead, odds are it will have very low numbers.
T-14 production has been plagued with production difficulty and cost issues. The Russian Army has re-strategized to form up around much larger numbers of the heavily upgraded and proven reliable T-72B3.
T-14, has fewer than a hundred in service and cuts in production (which began in 2015) were recently announced with only 10-20 a year being built. (C)
The extremely limited production & availability of S-300/S-400 systems has been discussed previously on this site several times in relation to Syria.
____________________
(A) https://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/2018/05/germanys-typhoon-problem-only-four-fighters-can-be-made-combat-ready/
(B) http://www.businessinsider.com/russia-admits-defeat-su-57-not-going-into-mass-production-2018-7
(C) From 2017 — http://www.strategypage.com/htmw/htarm/articles/20171003.aspx
The cutbacks, that you have mentioned in your comment, may have been caused in large part by the effects of the economic war being waged against the Russian economy, and due to the lost access to the weapons facilities in Ukraine.
But there are limits to the impact that “gee-whiz” technology can have on a large battlefield.
For example: Russia has many thousands of tanks in storage. Their military personnel are already well-trained in the use of these weapons. In any sustained combat, the quality and quantity of replacements/reinforcements -both material and personnel- will will be the decisive factor in the outcome.
As long as Russia’s air and missile defense capabilities are more than a match for whatever threat is posed against them, reliable weapons and experienced personnel will be effective against a smaller -even if technologically superior- opposing force.
the attempt to compare a whole profit oriented, corporation oriented and arrogance driven weapon production system with the Russian one
is an a priori misreasoning. Add to the words production system a politically corrupt system, a coast to coast weaponist electioneering system and a media heavy lying support system for all this BS.
Let us remember that MEDIA does not exist by itself: it is just a sound reproduction box.
Very good point! (though TOE stand for table of organization and equipment).
Here are a few points in reply.
Both the T-14 and the Su-57 are revolutionary in design and it is therefore normal that they have plenty of issues which need to be ironed out and fixed. But unlike say, the F-35, I am unaware of any issues due to design as opposed to systems integration. Furthermore, the Su-35 and the T-72B3 are proven designs which are “good enough” for Russia’s needs except in specific combat scenarios. As far as I know, the T-14 is only scheduled to be deployed into the two divisions forming part of the First Guards Tank Army (facing the West). Deploying the T-14 in, say, the Far East would just make no sense. Same thing for the Su-57 because right now the SU-35S is more than enough to take care of any multirole/air superiority fighter with the possible exception of the F-22. And, by the way, the Su-57 was not canceled but the planned production numbers were reduced and this make sense: from a force planning point of view, even against a theoretical threat completely composed of, say, F-22s it is important to model which is better: an x number of Su-57 or a 5x number of Su-35S. Remember that the Su-35 is a formidable 4++ aircraft whose radar and long range missile present a very real threat not only to F-22s, but also to AWACs so having more of them might be a much more effective allocation of resources.
But the real point of my article is not the internal competition which, indeed, might dramatically reduce the procurement of weapons systems like the Su-57, T-14 and, for that matter, all the other weapons system I listed, but the fact that no matter which of these weapons systems are eventually deployed, the “collective West” not only has no equivalent to oppose to them, but does not even have the capability to produce a limited run of equivalent systems, In other words, whatever problems in terms of technologies and financing the Russians face, they are STILL ahead by a decade or more and that gap will only become bigger. Why do I say that? Because of the shit (pardon my French) the US MIC has been producing over the past decade in comparison with the truly superb weapons systems the Russian MIC has been producing over the same time period: there is no Russian equivalent of the F-35 or the LCS!
Finally, with the prices of oil and gas going up there A LOT of money headed for the Russian state. Most of it will be needed to implement the very ambitious modernization plans of Putin for Russia, but I am quite confident that where needed the military will get what it wants.
Kind regards,
The Saker
The point I was trying to make is… TOE * Availability = Capability. Sorry if that was not clear:
— A weapon system provides no Capability if it is on the drawing board and not in production (not in deployed TOE).
— Similarly, a weapon system in TOE but non-operational provides no Capability.
_____
After carrying the costs associated with Iraq, the last thing the U.S. wants is responsibility for another failed state. There is no plan to invade Iran. There certainly is no realistic plan to invade Russia.
Perhaps Hillary would have been crazy enough to order a ground attack on Moscow. One hopes the generals and admirals would not follow the orders of the seriously mentally ill.
Therefore the objective of the U.S. Military structure is to blunt and then defeat a Russian offensive. So when you look at U.S. planning you find scenarios like these.
In Europe or the Middle East, the number and mobility of Russian SAA is limited. A T-14 first strike would move out from under SAA cover into an area of U.S. Air Superiority and be neutralized by air to ground weapons.
In the Pacific theatre a Su-35/Su-57 first strike is limited by flight range and refueling.
Incoming strike aircraft of this type would would be overwhelmed by substantially larger numbers of carrier based F-18’s plus ground based F-16’s & F-22’s long before they became a threat to the continental U.S.
____
This type of analysis does speak to the hugely problematic thought patterns on both sides still locked in obsolete Cold War mentality of the “U.S. invading Russia” or “Russia invading the U.S.”. The Soros/Globalists faction keeps pushing this dogma to distract from more important issues.
Christian Russia and the Christian U.S. are natural allies against the anti-Christian forces of Soros/Globalism. And, the war to defend Christianity is unlikely to be won with the most advanced tanks and 5th generation planes. Most of the Globalist invasion is penetration of institutions such as the media, schools, and government bureaucracies.
Many Thanks,
But I reaad that SU 57 is cancelled and not going into massproduction or is that just FAKE NEWS? They refer to Russian ministry of defence or something like that when saing this
Not true. In fact, the first batch of Su-57 will be moved from Akhtubinsk (testing facility) to Lipetsk (military airbase) in the very near future. This first batch will still have the first type of engine while the supercruising second type is being state certified before being delivered to the military.
No, the Su-57 is not being canceled – all that’s being currently discussed is for the Russian Aerospace forces to procure less than originally intended. That’s all :-)
Cheers,
The Saker
“The Su-57 program was effectively cancelled a week or two ago (B).”
LOL, business insider is a zionazi-gay propaganda source, ie: fake news.
Russia Places Initial Production Order for Stealth Fighter
https://www.ainonline.com/aviation-news/defense/2018-07-03/russia-places-initial-production-order-stealth-fighter?amp
“The Russian defense ministry has ordered 12 new production Sukhoi Su-57 fifth-generation fighters and confirmed next year as the target date for entry-into-service. First flown eight years ago, 10 prototypes of the Su-57 have flown to date, and two of these may also join the first squadron. One of the prototypes has been flying with new “Item 30” engines since last December, but the initial production aircraft will retain the less advanced AL-41F-1 turbofans (manufacturer’s designation Item 117).
Yuri Slyusar, president of United Aircraft Corporation (UAC), has said that if flight tests of the Item 30 engines go as planned, they will be installed on production Su-57s starting in 2023-2025.
Inspecting Sukhoi’s KnAAPO factory in Komsomolsk-upon-Amur in late June, deputy minister Aleksei Krivoruchko told journalists that the Su-57 prototypes had “demonstrated full compliance to the customer’s specification” during flight trials and the overseas deployment in Syria last February. Reportedly, this deployment lasted for several days, during which four aircraft flew combat missions out of the Russian expedition force’s main base in Khemeimeem, to hit targets in the rebel-held areas during the Syrian Arab Army’s Operation “Damascus Steel.”
When asked about the prospects for KnAAPO, Yuri Borisov, the deputy head of the Russian government responsible for military industrial complex, told journalists that the enterprise has a considerable order backlog for the Su-35. “Today, the Su-35 is one of the world’s best fighters, so there is no reason for us to speed up work on mass production of the FGFA.”
The Su-57 development has proceeded at a relaxed pace throughout. That has been very clear to any sentient being watching this program proceed. The aircraft is not considered to be some miracle cure that must be rushed into mass, mass production, but the instead, a part of a development process.
The Russians don’t need thousands of Su-57s. They assessed the situation and determined that they won’t be invaded by the zionazi-gay blowhards anytime soon, so are ordering Su-57s in numbers aligned to their real interests, not to make a mint for mic multinationals and their financial multinational handlers, like with what is happening with that f-35 scam.
If one views Russia from the israeloamerican perspective, relies on their psywar media and gives credence to their web trolls, one is living in the make believe world where not only Iraq had wmds, they transferred them to Syria, while Iran is on the verge of nuking the u.s., Muslims are the ultimate evil, well, after leftists, of course, and one can tick off the items on the list the rightwing/zionazi/gays want out of their way to see what motivates and fuels their propaganda.
From what I have seen of President Putin, I do not think that on 01 March he was talking through his hat and trying to frighten Russia’s enemies by talk of ‘wunderwaffen’, I would almost be willing to bet that a good percentage of the new weapons are already in service, mayhap not universal service but there is enough of them floating around to send a very clear message to the enemies.
However, the bottom line of any conflict is in the end, the soldiers have to go in and dig out the enemy at bayonet point and either kill him, force him to surrender or force him to run in numbers that are significant. Does any army in the west have enough soldiers willing to do such a task, knowing full well the casualty lists such combat produces? I think not, especially when because of social engineering most combat units in western armies are full of women, women who when they know a deployment is coming, especially a combat deployment, are suddenly with child and can not be deployed with the combat teams they’ve trained with for usually quite some time. This leads to new soldiers being shoved in to a tactical unit who are not familiar with the soldiers in the unit or the methods of the unit, or even the unique slang used by individual units in all armies. This little foible has an adverse affect on the units and has a very direct affect on their ability to fulfill their combat assignments, let alone soldiers getting quite dead because of this foolishness.
President Putin has stated repeatedly that Russia will attack no one, but he has also said there will be no war on Russian territory. Does this mean he will do a preemptive strike if the need arises, if he has incontrovertible evidence that Russia is about to be attacked? I don’t know, but I will mention the fact that some weeks ago, when the crisis in Syria was coming to a head and sabers were being rattled loudly by The West, not much was said here but one fine morning there were no soldiers on the streets, and what few one could see at the various Flot and VDV lagers were all in field uniforms, not the usual summer service uniforms. Methinks actions speak louder than words and someone clearly got that message, witness that ‘someone’ asking what useless three facilities they could cruise missile in Syria to save their haggard face.
In other words, The West blinked when they understood that Russia did everything but go to full mobilization. This event in and of itself tells reams about what the enemies of Russia really think of the Russian Armed Force’s capabilities when push comes to shove. Are Russia’s enemies dangerous? Oh hell yes, very, very dangerous, but perhaps, just perhaps, there is a tiny glimmer of hope on the horizon, hope that we all won’t go down in one final Götterdämmerung of Hell unleashed brought on by one fool sitting in some useless office in Five Points who thinks The West can win in a war with Russia. Foggy Bottom obviously thinks otherwise.
Auslander
Author
Never The Last One https://www.amazon.com/dp/B00ZGCY8KK A Deep Look In To Russia, Her Culture And Her Armed Forces
An Incident On Simonka https://www.amazon.com/dp/B01ERKH3IU NATO Is Invited To Leave Sevastopol, One Way Or The Other.
Russia has nothing on Amerikkka and their battle group of
pink unicorns that can traverse the gay rainbow and shoot
unicorn farts, a weapon that has no match whatsoever. :DDDD
Now jokes aside,
The US is bankrupt, there won’t be a “space force” for Trump. It is just
fake news and an attempt to use it as a bargaining chip during the upcoming
Putin-Trump summit. And no, the Russians won’t fall for it.
Thank you again for all your efforts my fine feathered friend. As for your contention regarding internal competition, I have to disagree. My understanding is this is ‘working as designed’. The Mig-35 isn’t as good as the Sukhoi, but the powers that be in Russia want to keep Mikoyan stable and in business precisely to create some internal competition. They are buying the Mig-35 to encourage counties like Egypt to buy a few squadrons as well so to keep skilled technical assets employed, the assembly lines active, and the company afloat. It is much the same with other purchases such as the Navy Corvettes. Does the navy really need more corvettes? Not particularly but they want to keep the shipyards active and the labor force gainfully employed.
Don’t forget the gays joining a military where the traditional male is homophobic. This does not make for good unit cohesion. Neither does the dropping of standards so the ladies are not unduly pressured by mean sergeants. This social engineering means that officers with ethics that tell the truth are passed over, while incompetent liars but who can appear PC get promoted,
America’s Defense Meltdown ed. by Winston T. Wheeler 2009 covers the failure of the design/acquisition of weapons, written by US professionals, civilian and military, who were frustrated by the growing ineptness and waste of the US military.
L.O.L. Seriously ????? As a Vietnam veteran myself, I must point out to you, even during my time way back in 69 there were gays in the Australian military. Granted, when they were discovered they were immediately sent back home and discharged, but they were there in service in hiding, as they have been everywhere for millenia. B.T.W. I found no issues with their fighting capabilities either, and would not object to sharing a fighting fox hole with one, with seperate sleeping facilities, just in case. L.O.L.
Saker, surely from a defensive point of view, & taking into account financial costs, isn’t it better to have missiles than fighter jets? Not totally obviously, but a lot more of the former than the latter.
Ralph,
I don’t want to speak for The Saker, but I believe the military term you are looking for is “Situational Awareness” .
— A missile once launched affords little or no chance to change plans at the far end of the military event.
— Drone launched ordinance has more, but still limited, information that allows for late stage decision making.
— A human pilot offers the maximum opportunity to change plans late.
For example, say a vehicle that looks like it might be a school bus will be passing by the target building.
— The awareness of the human pilot will kick in. The pilot will delay local ordinance drop for a few minutes while the unwanted collateral non-target leaves the area.
— The situation may or may not be detected by the limited awareness of the drone cameras.
— All decision making associated with the unaware missile warhead is irrevocable and the bus is doomed to be ‘collateral damage’.
Missiles are useful for certain roles, but they cannot replace the judgement of a human pilot.
A123, as I said (implied), it’s defensive, wrt an attack on Russia, not outside of it.
For example, if nato was ever stupid enough to attack Russia, with its overwhelming air forces, then missile defence (& of course, EW) would/should be primary.
Interesting article, but would point out that the S-500 is basically a mobile ABM system that could also engage satellites and will therefore not replace S-400.
In the Russian Air Defence forces, they will have S-500 at the top level in terms of performance and cost, with the cheaper more widely deployed, though still very capable S-400, then the S-350 and Pantsir-SM to defend those systems from attack by swarm or munitions. The lightest SAM would be the shoulder fired Verba.
For the Russian Army they will have Verba, then TOR and Pantsir-SM, then BUK3, and then likely an upgrade of S-300V4, and at the top they will have S-500.
They might also add the Sosna-R short range SAM in lighter units because it is so cheap, yet effective.
Nudol is not related to existing SAM systems, it is an evolution of the ABM systems the Soviets and Russians have had surrounding Moscow all these years.
Now that the Abm treaty no longer applies the system they had developed and evolved can now be expanded to cities across Russia… the four main military districts could benefit from fixed ABM systems… each will have central major military command areas and naval ports to defend, and such powerful defence systems would be an ideal structure to base such systems around. S-400 and S-500 systems could be added as needed when needed.
The Americans have been developing an ultra-advanced weapon that the Russians and their allies can never match.
This is the ultimate weapon, one that is so destructive that it will bring all nations that oppose the European-American LGBT World Order to their knees. While officially this project was eventually terminated before fruition, can you really be so sure?
This weapon is America’s Gay Bomb.
The U.S. Military Once Proposed a “Gay” Bomb
https://gizmodo.com/the-u-s-military-once-proposed-a-gay-bomb-1443813176
Air force looked at spray to turn enemy gay
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2007/jun/13/usa.danglaister
Unfortunately, in testing, it back fired…………………on them!
The anti-satellite weapons may have one huge strategic implication that might warrant further discussion; namely that in an escalator spiral, Russia would have the option of shooting down US satellites.
It would cause no casualties, but completely blind the US. And people on the ground might not even notice a difference, except reduced cellphone and cable TV service. Russia could even deny it did anything. The same can’t be said for sinking an aircraft carrier which almost certainly guarantee a US response with high chance of escalation to nuclear exchange.
But a satellite attack would leave the US in an awkward position of having no chance in a conventional war and therefore have to choose between nuclear exchange or giving up and going home. But in this case the US would have the face saving option of denying anything happened.
Either Trump is an idiot or he’s a revolutionary weapon system designed by Russia to destroy US Dollar/WallStreet financial hegemony.
Having a trade war against Russia/China is a good idea, but having a trade war against your allies/members of your Empire like the EU, Canada, Japan, South Korea and India is beyond dumb.
The collapse of the USSR was a tragedy, but the collapse of the USA will be a farce.
The Ponzi Empire has created another huge asset inflation bubble since the 2008 financial crisis. The previous one was based on real estate, this one is based on the fracking industry and SP500 share buybacks with borrowed money. Mostly the FAANG stocks. Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Netflix and Google.
Russia just needs the US economy to slow down as a result of Trump’s trade war and poof, there goes the bankrupt Ponzi Empire into the dustbin of history.
”Either Trump is an idiot or he’s a revolutionary weapon system designed by Russia to destroy US Dollar/WallStreet financial hegemony.”
Amusingly, he is — to use Theresa May’s very apt expression — ’highly likely’ both and, consequently, not aware of his historical significance at all. Of course the idiot part applies to him the same as it does to any tenant of the Offal Office throughout history. The subversive part, however, is a unique characteristic of DT’s presidency, and its context is outlined below.
Donald Trump had the misfortune of arriving on the world political stage at a time when Russia had reversed the tide both at home and abroad. This has left the ruling Zionazis with no other viable political options than imposing wanton social decomposition, corruption, and bankruptcy of all things West. Needless to say, the PNAC fanatics’ idea initially was permanent raping and pillaging of Russia and China, but their sense of final and total victory was, sadly, premature. Donald Trump is thus an absolute idiot stuck with an exceptional, indispensable domestic audience he has to force-feed ever stronger doses of what is just pure anathema to them. Predictably, according to how Western victimology spins such misfortunes, this becomes a Russian conspiracy while Donald Trump, by inference, becomes a Russian traitor. Nevertheless, there is a tiny grain of truth in these allegations. Astute leaderships such as Russia’s cannot let a squalid, vile, weakened leadership such as the entire, collective West’s off the hook. The West’s incoherent, mendacious drivel on practically any political subject past and present proves the impact of Russian intelligence, without and within the Russian Deep State.
When the POTUS doesn’t realize that US trade deficits and budget deficits are a form of Imperial tribute from the world to Wall Street and Washington, he’s an idiot if he starts a trade war.
If he knows, then he’s a traitor.
It makes me wonder, why Wall Street and Washington ever allowed China to industrialize under globalism and grow from an economic basket case into an economic rival?
Either they were idiots or mendacious crooks. I put my money on mendacious crooks.
”It makes me wonder, why Wall Street and Washington ever allowed China to industrialize under globalism and grow from an economic basket case into an economic rival?”
That’s a no-brainer, once Western self-pity is removed from the picture: By the late 1960s the relations between China and the USSR had deteriorated all the way to open war at the border in the Far East. As for the US regime, Nixon and Kissinger were very ready to furnish assistance to all and sundry in exchange for staunch anti-Sovietism and corporate profits. The Chinese went along, happily sabotaging the supply of Soviet aid to the Vietnamese tormented by US genocidal violence. So it’s not entirely correct to say that poor little innocent US got nothing in return for their Chinese endeavour.
Today’s anti-Chinese Party Line got off the ground largely as a result of the failed colour revolution stunt in Beijing in the summer of 1989.
Or maybe they clearly foresaw back in the late 70’s that in half a century they will need to change the Imperium Seat in order to maintain the Empire itself. Although I try not to fall for conspiracy theories and analyze the world’s affairs from a coherent and logical point of view but when you look upon the whole farce called modern world during the last 4 centuries it looks more and more like game of Musical Chairs. Maybe the powers that be just make kind of political show for us just to reshuffle the players in the front rows.
I am just speculating. But when you start analyzing the ‘game’ from this point of view it all starts clicking into place, right?
Those who have the foresight/most accurate conceptual map of reality to know what something means and what it’s worth, become the big fish who eat the little fish. Works in the stock market.
That “clicks into place” for me or maybe egotistical dumbasses deserve a good reality knuckle sandwich.
I just fancy the ‘idea’. In order to keep up with reality we further and further make the system more complex and intertwined while I think the best approach is to simplify the system. When the system is simplified the moves starting to get visible and logical. Just an oppinion, feel free to add to the topic
“Say Russia disables or even sinks a US Navy carrier with a couple of hypersonic missiles.”
A couple of Shkvals would probably suffice.
No need to sink a carrier; just mess up the flight deck…nothing lands or takes off except the helicopter. It is a setting duck and must set sail for home totally dismayed.
How do you deal with a belligerent giant?
…poke its eyes out.
Somebody has sold to USA intelligence agencies some secrets about hypersonic weapons.
This is old Russian problem. Americans and their secret services can always find somebody in Russia to bribe and who is ready to give them everything for money.
It’s really sad.
It is a problem everywhere.
Of course bribery in the US is called lobbying, so the lines are blurred.
20 years ago and the US could have pulled all this tariff stuff and Russia would have had to have folded, but 20 years ago Russias problems were mostly internal and the US didn’t think they would ever be an independent thinker again (ie a threat).
Now, thanks to many moves by Russia to set up new relationships and to turn away from the US and EU, or in fact to be pushed away, they are in much better shape to develop without the west.
I personally think Russia should greatly limit its cooperation with the US and EU and find its own way.
There is a huge number of countries out there that want to develop and grow, but western corruption and imperial greed leads to corrupt governments and plundered resources and the people remain poor.
Ironically the same model is being applied to western countries and they don’t like it… that is why Trump got voted in and also why they keep voting for Putin.
The future of a wealthy Russia and a wealthy China and a wealthy India is for them to grow and develop without the tentacles of the west draining them and perverting them.
Develop with countries together and grow with countries to your mutual benefit, and don’t judge or sanction them because they are different from you… you know… the opposite of the west.
Dear Saker, do you think the reported leak of the Russian supersonic weapons’ secrets to the West is dangerous? I was hoping to find some mention of the potential consequences.
Thank you Saker (and RT for the great video).
Is it good?
This means, the delusional, now hysterical cabal, actually controlling the empire’s foreign policy/making war on humanity, has only the single option, hot nuclear war. As you’ve often pointed out, there seems a definite lack of rational decision making at the empire, and those courageous loners, working under the weight of the corruption, are getting fewer and fewer to stand up and be instrumental in averting disaster.
We also know, from paying attention to Michael Hoffman, and others, that the controlling Torah-Pharisees-Talmud collective is dedicated to destruction, and definitely prefers complete destruction to any diminishment of their power and standing, which is nearly complete in the empire, and previously (prior to Russian involvement in Syria and the MArch 2018 weapons announcements by Putin), seemed virtually on the brink of their well-stated (hubristic) ambition of total global dominance.
How did it happen?
While we have arrived at this point in the balance of power between the empire, and those resisting the global neurotic bullying of the empire, it may be predictive to understand how a collapsed and plundered Soviet Union could overcome such disadvantage, and emerge 25 years later, with an actual strategic superiority.
Certainly you have referred to the superior strategic approach, and very clear scope; including this incredibly succinct summary, “…while, for the USA, it is crucial to achieving superiority, for Russia it is enough to deny that superiority to the USA.”
But it is more than that, isn’t it?
What has gone wrong in the empire’s MIC?
As I’ve written before, however much maligned, here, among other intelligent information sources, the erosion, and ongoing subterfuge against the ruling north-western eurasian culture and values, a culture rooted in a self-preservational adoption of shared social welfare, and on-the-whole respect for the rights-responsibilities balance, including a strong work ethic, was part of the reason for the rise of the U.S.A.
While we don’t have to buy all of the Hollywood spuge about American superiority, we should acknowledge, fully respectful of the abundant resources and strategic geographical situation, that the U.S.A. did become the global leader in industry and commerce, and there is no good reason for it to have fallen so flat, … otherwise.
But the culture was infected along the trend lines of a 2500 year-old obsessive negative sum gain gaming program/culture, dedicated to milking the greater society, for the benefit of the in-group collective. Slowly but certainly, when people observed, with their own senses, how working hard and diligently towards prosperity and happiness failed, more and more people began the cynical path of zero or negative sum gain gaming, as a more successful approach to achieving their personal goals of prosperity. One could see how this progression would naturally tend towards a logarithmic curve.
So, we arrive at the current era, after the absurdities of 1980s economics things have been steadily declining.
Today, for example, these blood-sucking parasites, completely dominating the empire’s finance systsems, i.e. the bankers and traders have created a new investment type, juicy and ripe for the raping, of the empire’s housing market. Now, as many may be aware, long time residents of the majority of the empire’s prime cities, London, Sydney, Melbourne, New York (the first), Paris, Barcelona, Toronto, Montreal, Vancouver, etc… can no longer afford accommodation in those places under the other pressures keeping wage advancement to a nominal minimum.
In the Military Industrial Complex, this dysfunctional cultural trait, now, as we can see the outcome, predominating, has lead to a new prime directive of stealing as much as you can, as fast as you can, as long as you can, without getting caught! Of course, eventually, persons/factions/affiliations can accumulate enough stolen money to buy off anybody they have to, who have also adopted the new prime directive, and carry on like this forever, or, and this is where the punchline in coming, until the system/community/society fails!
So we approach a much larger milestone than the emancipation from the empire’s sociopathic obsession of full spectrum dominance; we are, of course, well into the collapse of the empire.
The most important thing now, will be to prevent the infection of the insipid Torah-Pharisees-Talmud collective collateral values from infecting the axis of resistance, i.e. Russia.
And, preparing for the humanitarian disaster, now impossible to avert, coming to the 99% of the citizens existing under the yoke of the empire’s insane tyrants.
I never thought I would say the following words:
“Thank god for Russia. If it were not for them the world would be at the mercy of the psychopaths who run the western banking system”
amen