by Pepe Escobar, posted with the author’s permission and widely cross-posted
In an all-encompassing address to the plenary session of the 19th annual meeting of the Valdai Club, President Putin delivered no less than a devastating, multi-layered critique of unipolarity.
From Shakespeare to the assassination of Gen Soleimani; from musings on spirituality to the structure of the UN; from Eurasia as the cradle of human civilization to the interconnection of BRI, SCO and the INSTC; from nuclear dangers to that peripheral peninsula of Eurasia “blinded by the idea that Europeans are better than others”, the address painted a Brueghel-esque canvas of the “historical milestone” facing us, in the middle of “the most dangerous decade since the end of WWII.”
Putin even ventured that, in the words of the classics, “the situation is, to a certain extent, revolutionary” as “the upper classes cannot, and the lower classes do not want to live like this anymore”. So everything is in play, as “the future of the new world order is being shaped before our eyes.”
Way beyond a catchy slogan about the game the West is playing, “bloody, dangerous and dirty”, the address and Putin’s interventions at the subsequent Q&A should be analyzed as a coherent vision of past, present and future. Here we offer just a few of the highlights:
“The world is witnessing the degradation of world institutions, the erosion of the principle of collective security, the substitution of international law for ‘rules’”.
“Even at the height of the Cold War, nobody denied the existence of the culture and art of the Other. In the West, any alternative point of view is declared subversive.”
“The Nazis burned books. Now the Western fathers of ‘liberalism’ are banning Dostoevsky.”
“There are at least two ‘Wests’. The first is traditional, with a rich culture. The second is aggressive and colonial.”
“Russia has not and does not consider itself an enemy of the West.
Russia tried to build relations with the West and NATO – to live together in peace and harmony. Their response to all cooperation was simply ‘no’.”
“We do not need a nuclear strike on Ukraine, there is no point – neither political nor military.”
“In part” the situation between Russia and Ukraine can be considered a civil war: “When creating Ukraine, the Bolsheviks endowed it with primordially Russian territories – they gave it all of Little Russia, the entire Black Sea region, the entire Donbass. Ukraine evolved as an artificial state.”
“Ukrainians and Russians are one people – this is a historical fact. Ukraine has evolved as an artificial state. The only country that can guarantee its sovereignty is the country which created it – Russia.”
“The unipolar world is coming to an end. The West is incapable of single-handedly ruling the world. The world stands at a historical milestone ahead of the most dangerous and important decade since World War II.”
“Humanity has two options – either we continue accumulating the burden of problems that is certain to crush all of us, or we can work together to find solutions.”
What do we do after the orgy?
Amidst a series of absorbing discussions, the heart of the matter at Valdai is its 2022 report, “A World Without Superpowers”.
The report’s central thesis – eminently correct – is that “the United States and its allies, in fact, no longer enjoy the status of dominant superpower, but the global infrastructure that serves it is still in place.”
Of course all major interconnected issues at the current crossroads were precipitated because” Russia became the first major power which, guided by its own ideas of security and fairness, chose to discard the benefits of ‘global peace’ created by the only superpower.”
Well, not exactly “global peace”; rather a Mafia-enforced ethos of “our way or the highway”. The report quite diplomatically characterizes the freezing of Russia’s gold and foreign currency reserves and the “mop up” of Russia’s property abroad as “Western jurisdictions”, “if necessary”, being “guided by political expediency rather than the law”.
That’s in fact outright theft, under the shadow of the “rules-based international order”.
The report – optimistically – foresees the advent of a sort of normalized “cold peace” as “the best available solution today” – acknowledging at least this is far from guaranteed, and “will not halt the fundamental rebuilding of the international system on new foundations.”
The foundation for evolving multipolarity has in fact been presented by the Russia-China strategic partnership only three weeks before imperially-ordered provocations forced Russia to launch the Special Military Operation (SMO).
In parallel, the financial lineaments of multipolarity had been proposed since at least July 2021, in a paper co-written by Professor Michael Hudson and Radhika Desai.
The Valdai report duly acknowledges the role of Global South medium-sized powers that “exemplify the democratization of international politics” and may “act as shock absorbers during periods of upheaval.” That’s a direct reference to the role of BRICS+ as key protagonists.
On the Big Picture across the chessboard, the analysis tends to get more realistic when it considers that “the triumph of ‘the only true idea’ makes effective dialogue and agreement with supporters of different views and values impossible by definition.”
Putin alluded to it several times in his address. There’s no evidence whatsoever the Empire and its vassals will be deviating from their normative, imposed, value-laden unilateralism.
As for world politics beginning to “rapidly return to a state of anarchy built on force”, that’s self-evident: only the Empire of Chaos wants to impose anarchy, as it completely ran out of geopolitical and geoeconomic tools to control rebel nations, apart from the sanctions tsunami.
So the report is correct when it identifies that the childish neo-Hegelian “end of history” wet dream in the end hit the wall of History: we’re back to the pattern of large scale conflicts between centers of power.
And it’s also a fact that “simply changing the ‘operator’ as it happened in earlier centuries” (as in the US taking over from Britain) “just won’t work.”
China might harbor a desire to become the new sheriff, but the Beijing leadership definitely is not interested. And even if that happened the Hegemon would fiercely prevented it, as “the entire system” remains “under its control (primarily finance and the economy).”
So the only way out, once again, is multipolarity – which the report characterizes, rather vaguely, as “a world without superpowers”, still in need of “a system of self-regulation, which implies much greater freedom of action and responsibility for such actions.”
Stranger things have happened in History. As it stands, we are plunged deep into the maelstrom of complete collapse. Putin in fact did nail where we are: on the edge of a Revolution.
Excellent summary… which makes me wonder exactly how bright (or not) Europeans are. And which in turn prompts me to (soon) pen an article on this very same subject. Because after all is said and done with results for everyone to see Europeans should not be brighter than others as they claim to be, should they ?
Having lived in the US, Europe, and SA, I have some experience in this regard. There are brilliant people everywhere, but populations seem to have different qualities.
Americans have some (too much?) freedom from the past, that is, from history and it allowed for some great innovation and the easy readiness to get something done, or the famous “can do”. This was apparent some decades ago, though much less so now (although the lack of education continues to worsen).
Europeans have been far more grounded in history, having experienced so much around themselves. This grounding informed the thinking and in some respects limited it. Again, this quality is also fading rapidly with new generations.
Most striking, IMO, is a general lethargy and confusion taking over on these three continents. Society has degenerated badly in our times and leadership is nonexistent in most countries and states.
I see it as a loss of spiritual grounding. People were functional in a world that was generally following a set of expectations. But now, systems that were functioning for decades are breaking down. That is when a strong spiritual foundation is especially needed.
So, while intelligence is being affected, more relevant may be a quote from Sophocles I was reminded of recently:
“evil appears as good in the minds of those whom god leads to destruction”
Mass hypnotism and madness appear to be governing the thoughts of many.
IMHO, Europeans are too constrained by the past. Even here in the US, except for some places, like California (up to 15 years ago), people were too constrained by their past.
Moving from the Old Country to the American West was intoxicating… We were able to redefine what were wanted to do and given the opportunity to do so. We were no longer bound by generations of our ancestors.
Unfortunately. that “opportunity” is now being taken away from everybody.
Putin is right, the ruling elites want us to do what we don’t to do and, unfortunately, the classic solution to this is war.
Look forward to that comrade Jorge.
America spends hundreds of. Europe tens, of their fiat currencies, ensuring their peons remain dumbed-down to the max.
Having travelled and worked in half a dozen countries, outside of the West, I can categorically confirm that Europeans in general are clueless planks. The US-EU-CIA-MI6 experiments on them have been successful, mission accomplished.
We have
– MI6
– CIA (30% were former nazis)
– MI6 – Mossad
– MI6 – CIA – BND (the nazis in CIA -> BND)
None here are representing the Germans
Nice job generalizing!
/sarcasm
Start here on that “Europe is not so smart theme” :
1. The EU is a US/CIA project.
2. The EU stripped power from sovereign nations and concentrated it in the hands of unelected leaders handpicked as US Trojan horses to implement US policy and to suppress European interests.
3. Several European countries elections and the leaders that came from these elections were manipulated by the US elite: Draghi, Macron, Von der Lugen (Nazi father) and the German Greens do the US Empire’s bidding.
4. NATO runs EU foreign policy, following orders from Washington.
5. The European commoner and once-sovereign EU nations are being sacrificed by the Empire and their own leaders to perpetuate US hegemony. Or, at least to keep Europe in the Empire’s orbit and control while slowing down Eurasian integration.
6. The lady in the street feels it, but can do little about it in the short term, the truth obfuscated by relentless propaganda.
7. Empty bellies and cold limbs will soon be her call to arms. The next elections will be decisive. Hunger and cold trumps propaganda.
8. Let’s not read the stupidity scale until post-election, after cold fingers and empty belies have voted.
I’ll be looking forward to anything you have to say on the subject, Mr. Vilches,
I’m an American; one of very low stature and importance in “our” American scheme of things. “That goes likewise” in any culture I may find myself in. A fact easily proven by peppering my communications with an American commoner’s idioms more suitable to the last century, a lack of travel outside the Midwestern, American states I’ve resided in, and confronted with foreign culture merely by association brought on by “our” leadership’s machinations. Realizing my former attribute may be a positive, I fight off the inherent, secluded tendency to find the latter experiences “exotic”; in a sense, a fallacy articulating those as the Other.
Hardship, brought on by my own character flaws, a few familial shortcomings, but mostly political ruse in this current century, have offered me a fair amount of enlightenment though. That, tempered with a strong sense of responsibility to the family I have fostered since. And, I’m extremely protective. You might even say I “always pull for the underdog”. Does that require empathy? I still question my own, in any regard.
Socio-economic strata can be a teacher. And not just for acquiring a cynical skepticism. I tend to the less well off, no gentry here, through my labor, despite hob-nobbing with quite a few liberal-minded, degree holding educators from around the globe in the pursuit of creating collaborative poetry, believe it or not. Quite the distinctions in opinion and values between those two! I only pursue these endeavors for my piece of mind. Yet the incessant propaganda and varying position of status makes it harder to enjoy. And, yes, I find good and bad in both these structures.
I haven’t much to add to this discussion other than the hope that one might find me typical of the average American. I do know I’m interested in people, whatever their origin, because I find them, and their views and experience, interesting, to say the least. So often those relate with mine.
All I have to report is … I’m worried for the future. In an existential manner. Now, if only more of my fellow citizens felt the same way.
Wow… your prose!
Seldom do we see a semi-colon, ‘;’, properly used in a post.
Bravo!
Now, for exotic… I have family in the Old Country.. Some exhibit tendencies such as mine, transcontinental move, except nowhere as extreme. They travel to far away places, other continents no less! But they return to the responsibilities and financially secured tenure of their past. These are the ‘exotic’ parts of the family. (*)
Others, however, feel that having a summer home 45 km away from the city is an alien adventure. Mind you they all have nice German sedans and they know how to drive fast, quite so. Their family doctors are but 45 minutes away, and so on… but their world view is curtailed by their mentality, finding the old neighborhood an emotional security blanket of known character. A place of “belonging”.
Mind you again… there are some awesome benefits about the old neighborhood… like getting a reserved table for 20 people on a Sunday facing the sea on a afternoon at a restaurant when there a two hour wait outside! Because.. sure, sure… the owner’s father and my grand father fought together against the Nationalists and the families know each other… having connecting tentacles like that all over the life of the city can make your life much more pleasant but at the same time it makes you feel trapped by an overbearing octopus.
Now then, what kind of people do we have today? It seems like the older ones, like us (you too?) tend to be split into “forever bound” and the “freer spirits”. After WWII, the freer spirits ruled the roost. Indeed, wars tend to mobilize people to far away places, even if like, for my great uncles, it just meant shooting -and being shot- in the province next door. Free Spirits will jump on their cars and go places and meet people, eat their food, learn their languages.
OTOH, the “forever bound” crowd controls the social discussion in times of peace. People will stay put, deal with their neighbors, local associations and avoid strange, “exotic” people from the City In The Next Valley (**).
Sadly, today, even with free global communication, we find that the Elite Powers That Are are efficiently foisting the American Progressive philosophy of “Politics of Meaning” and “Politics of Division”. A policy whence control of the People- aka the “Sheep”- via authoritarian fiat is made possible. And the Sheep have been trained not to notice. This is being done not so subtly through the “education” system that turns young adults unable to list the nations that neighbors to the US but who know where Lady Gaga spent her vacations. A system that validates the discussion on gender dysphoria and censors any viewpoints that are opposed by the Progressive narrative.
And this narrative is dangerous too as it also exploits division within the Conservative camp via the AKA “Never-Trumper” and RINO Deep State. Being from California myself, I’m all too used to hearing otherwise sane “conservatives” call me a queer, nut, etc… because I’m from California. Huh? That type of bigoted ethnocentrism can only survive, and prosper, with the help of the Propaganda machine that serves the State. Indeed, it is owned by the same corporations that own the Polity.
Even so, I fear not yet. I know many people who are onto this. If we can somehow get over the election cheating and survive FJB’s nuklear warmongering, we still stand a chance.
(*) I even had one great uncle that was a successful saxophonist in a jazz band that toured all over the World, but he was the baby of that generation, too young to fight in the Civil War, and he was raised in a period when the family had started to do quite well financially.
(**) Remember the TV show “Taxi”? Where Lavka meets a girl from the Old Country and they decide to marry only to find out she’s from the Hills and he’s from the Valley so they are too different…
“… hills and valleys … ” Ha! That’s “a corker”!
Thanks for the compliment on my use of English grammar, btw. As a product of American schools, I’m usually not aware of it. Funny, I thought about that semi-colon. Besides being esoteric, I tend to write in run-on sentences.
As for your mention of “politics of division”, I think it’s used “across the board”. I do firmly believe, also, we are but products of “behavioral modification techniques” for two decades on or more. Arguments citing an authority, I’ve learned, are generally useless, in my case. Rip me off once, shame on you, etc. … so much for mass communication.
I appreciate your hopefulness, friend, but to digress from my typical ambiguity, I’d compare our present situation to a dangerous street fight. When finesse, diplomacy, bluster, intelligence, et al., all fail, you better put that sumbitch “and his crew” down. To the point where they don’t get up again. I think on most forums I stand alone in that conviction. Singularly alone. The former is a metaphor while the latter is what I know.
This is far from over, yet a fair amount of the existing Hubris, with a dedicated few in opposition, should eventually turn the tide. It’s just time …
I’m a gardener. Europe is no garden. It’s not been well tended for sustainability and by that I do not mean woke but rather having a well built soil capable of growing bumper crops year after year with relatively few inputs.
Multipolarity is not the only option.
The West can stay detatched from the rest, stewing in it’s own juice.
Putin did give them this option too.
Which West should stay detached?
“The first is traditional, with a rich culture. The second is aggressive and colonial.”
The first, true Christianity at heart, wants to join humanity.
The second, Zionist in philosophy and composition with a central deep state at its core, hates the world and wants to subdue it.
https://tinyurl.com/meet-the-deep-state
Link states:
– To conquer the West, the Ashkenazim applied a simple two-step process:
1) morph themselves into God’s Chosen People;
2) take over the issuance of money.
Similar to what Israelis will be taught at school. They learn 90% of them are of German Jewish origin – 1500 Germans Jews (basically some families) – who emigrated Eastwards, and became Russians. Then they returned to Eastern Europa as “10 mill Jews” (?) (now named Ashkenazim)
I say (the invisible people) were (non-slav) Russians who established themselves in Northern Italy. They became “Knight Templar” (1119 BC). They created the banking system. The rest is history.
“The invisible people” in current Russia https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russian_oligarchs
One of them: Yegor Gaidar
– Gaidar married the daughter of writer Arkady Strugatsky during his time at the university.[8] His daughter, Maria Gaidar, was one of the leaders of the Russian democratic opposition.
– The Strugatsky brothers were born to Natan Strugatsky, an art critic, and his wife, a teacher. Their father was Jewish and their mother was Russian Orthodox
Okay, now I am really getting fed up with you.
This is not a “Jew hunting” blog and if you persist, you will be banned.
stop pushing your agenda.
last warning
Andrei
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3MZgURSId-4&list=RDMM&index=5
“The Thirteenth Tribe” by Athur Koestler
The research was solid: – ORIGINAL EDITION. Koestler advances the thesis that Ashkenazi Jews are not descended from the historical Israelites of antiquity, but from Khazars
What Athur Koestler discovered about his own roots simple means: “13 mill Jewish in the world” is a
gigantic myth. It is not even close to reality of those of Khazarian origin.
Khazarians are as numerous as the Germans … or sometimes they are the Germans.
There is a difference between the ‘banking system’ and the monetary system, although there are relations. What the Templars achieved was the secure transfer of funds over long distances. They were hardly the first to achieve this.
Modern governments have monetary policies where the create money to fund their needs, to provision armies for defense (and offense), to build infrastructure, to pay salaries of civil servants, teachers et al, to educate the populace, to provide health care, etc, etc.
Gernments then have to tax to balance the circulation of money, i.e. to get rid of some, leaving enough for economic purposes. They also tax for political purposes, eg, the government gives tax relief to parents if government wants to increase population, etc.
Banks work in consort with government and are licensed by government. There are no longer Knights Templar offering independent banking services.
– There are no longer Knights Templar offering independent banking services.
Knights Templar originated in Genoa
https://www.history.com/.image/t_share/MTU3ODc4NTk4OTUwNTI4NzM1/image-placeholder-title.jpg
Genoese flag
https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/7/73/Flag_of_Genoa.svg/1200px-Flag_of_Genoa.svg.png
The attack on Jerusalem was with support from Genoese ships
The City of London (independent city state) flag is the Genoese flag.
https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/image_data/file/10028/s960_city-1.jpg
What looks like good videos and discussion of Putin speech and questions at Valdai:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-CPuXQOb938
Mazarin Pills: President Vladmir Putin Speech at Valdai International Discussion Club meeting
also
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=82Fp9mDBZeg
Oct 27, 2022 | Putin’s speech and discussion at Valdai International Discussion Club meeting
Thanks gods Pepe is fomulating the short version
Maybe when a bully is removed, other bullies will emerge. Maybe on a smaller scale. I read the 1st two chapters of Political Ponerology in the past, but maybe I need to read the rest. It’s just hard to face reality sometimes.
Here is a link to the reference on the study of evil, Ponerology.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Political_ponerology.
Psychopaths rise to the top because the rest of us are too nice.
Yes — and too optimistic, Pollyannaish. People need to recognize real evil or craziness (psychopathics) when they see it instead of thinking ‘Oh, everything will be alright’, or ‘Don’t be so critical’. It’s the banality of evil which does us in. (Or bananality — not seeing that the politicians have gone bananas? [grin]). And then they think someone good is evil or lying because some psycho politician or media propaganda person tells them that. Too many people have poor judgement, and the politicians really like that, and encourgae it, as part of their confidence scam.
There is also this question of ‘if someone can be trusted’ without ever asking ‘trusted for what, and how far?’. One can generally trust a politician to return a couple of bucks to a store clerk if undercharged but that doesn’t mean they will be honest if offered thousands or millions. They will return a couple of bucks if no other reason just establish a public reputation for honesty — it’s a technique psychopaths often use, I think. But I think Putin would always be honest — it’s part of his character.
The nazis were occultists
https://263i3m2dw9nnf6zqv39ktpr1-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/MHQP-200700-OCCULT-08.jpg
https://faustuscrow.files.wordpress.com/2014/08/goetia_girls_vril_ufo_semjase_flying_saucer_nordic_alien_girl.jpg
yes, so what?
this is totally off topic.
so, special rule for you: no more comments about either Nazis OR Jews.
Break that rule and you will be banned.
Wow, so much for free speech. That makes me wonder….
The message I replied to was about nazism. Then that message disappeared. Who were the nazis is still unanswered. Who were IG Farben (the Holocaust guys) is easier to answer. IG Farben is descendent of Standard Oil.
“BASF announces “permanent” output reductions that will set off catastrophic supply chain collapse for the western world”.
Who is BASF?
You must have a short memory b/c its been defined a number of times and now even a number of different ways, and in either case, is still subjective, its a bit like asking, who is the internet?
The simplistic answer is https://www.britannica.com/dictionary/Nazi
Nazi adjective — Nazi ideology
Nazism https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/Nazism
– : the body of political and economic doctrines held and put into effect by the Nazis in Germany from 1933 to 1945 including the totalitarian principle of government, predominance of especially Germanic groups assumed to be racially superior, and supremacy of the führer
== an ideology.
Joseph Goebbels wife was Jewish (Ashkenazi) (defined as existential “enemy” by Hitler), and Goebbel’s children thereby become Jewish. Of course he did not hate his wife and children, He loved them. Adolf Eichmann is an even more interesting case, highly respected by those Israelis who knew him. Apparently a man of honor, who financed settlements in Palestine.
Putin about the Bolshevik leadership: Not Russians. That is what is important here, not ideology.
Nazi party was full of Ashkenazis – 100,000 fought for Hitler.
Who founded the Nazi party (Thule Society) ? Then, who funded the Nazi party (the big gun Jewish banks 1928-1932 Churchill told). Why did Queen Elizabeth marry a Nazi? Something is not right here. MI6 community never believed Hitler killed himself.
What mattered was taking down Germany – using Brzezinski’s The Great Chessboard.
There might be revolution over there, but here the continuing signs of collapse are everywhere.
The kids are sick and ill as hell about something, the teens are holding their own, but the anger comes out at night. The twenties and thirties are so tired they are renting motel rooms to catch a good sleep, and from there they graduate to a tiny home just to get some quite sleep, the rest of the day is exhausting.
The 40 year old’s are still partying rather hard as the 50 year old’s succome to their injuries and senses as to how long they think they can be a 20 or 30 year old.
The 60 and above crowd are either doing great, or mostly walking away from what was retirement to kick in a few more years of work, or if that option is not available, the campground life down south appears to be the best option around for many.
And that is the good side of life, the rest are living in homeless camps or living under some bridge or city subway.
To my (limited) knowledge, the books that the National Socialists in Germany burned were the risque’ pornographic books with which the Zionists flooded the market.
Scott Ritter put it this way – the world has gone bipolar in the geopolitical and psychological sense.
And the Empire shows all symptoms of bipolar disorder.
We need a symphony of civilization – what Composer will step up to the task?
@ Pepe
Putin even ventured that, in the words of the classics, “the situation is, to a certain extent, revolutionary” as “the upper classes cannot, and the lower classes do not want to live like this anymore”. So everything is in play, as “the future of the new world order is being shaped before our eyes.”
————————————
Obrigado, Pepe, as always.
Congrats on “He’s Back.”
You have it in caps in Telegram, but I’d risk Jupiter’s fury if I write in caps here.
———————————–
“…the situation is, to a certain extent, revolutionary…”
To a certain extent?
Putin is a prudent man, not given to bombastic statements.
Putin, and Russia, kickstarted a planetary revolution, the beginning of the end of the Era of the Empires.
Challenging the corrupt Collective West by way of neutralizing Ukraine was a revolutionary act, as only Russians can do. There was no dress rehearsal for this one, as in 1905. Preparation took twenty years, warnings were made, then “…imperially-ordered provocations forced Russia to launch the Special Military Operation (SMO).”
“Putin even ventured that, in the words of the classics…
Sure, “the words of the classics,” is call Lenin, and Putin was almost quoting Lenin verbatim from “May Day Action by the Revolutionary Proletariat” (https://www.marxists.org/archive/lenin/works/1913/jun/15.htm), where for the first time Lenin introduced and defined the concept “revolutionary situation.”
In fact, Putin’s statement reads as if he dusted off his Marxian library before the Valdai speech.
Quote,
“…Oppression alone, no matter how great, does not always give rise to a revolutionary situation in a country. In most cases it is not enough for revolution that the lower classes should not want to live in the old way. It is also necessary that the upper classes should be unable to rule and govern in the old way. This is what we see in Russia today. A political crisis is maturing before our very eyes. The bourgeoisie has done everything in its power to back counter-revolution and ensure “peaceful development” on this counter-revolutionary basis. The bourgeoisie gave hangmen and feudal lords as much money as they wanted, the bourgeoisie reviled the revolution and renounced it, the bourgeoisie licked the boots of Purishkevich and the knout of Markov the Second and became their lackey, the bourgeoisie evolved theories based on “European” arguments, theories that revile the Revolution of 1905 as an “intellectualist” revolution and describe it as wicked, criminal, treasonous, and so on and so forth…”
Gramsci worked and developed the concept on his “Notebooks from Prison,” encapsulated in one of his most famous quotes,
“…Crisis consists precisely in the fact that the old is dying and the new has not been born; in this interregnum a great variety of morbid symptoms appear…”
We are precisely living in that “interregnum,” and Putin, our “modern prince,” (dear Gramsci again), presented us with a good compendium of the “morbid symptoms.”
Putin captured the “revolutionary moment” and dissected it with surgical precision while outlining the tasks ahead, the birth pangs of the future now unfolding in the cold Ukrainian steppes.
The modern prince is on the move.
May he walk in balance.
Godspeed.
Lone Wolf
@ Pepe
From Telegram
———————
Pepe Escobar
R(ed) O(ctober) (Caps in the original)
Doing the rounds in some Beijing circles.
Lula’s victory is a Chinese conspiracy.
It’s all got to do with recovering the Mandate of Heaven.
———————————————————————————
Exactly.
Recovering the Mandate of Heaven is the Order of the Day, in Brazil as in Ukraine.
BTW, as elections closed, there were rumors about the “Ukrainization” of Brazil and a coup d’etat. Maybe you can illustrate us in a future piece about that?
Ukraine was taken as a model by the Brazilian elite, linking “Right Sector” nazi elements with right-wing Brazilians. I have no memory of the details, there is however, plenty of evidence, I am sure you know about this.
Thanks, as always.
Lone Wolf
Thanks to Pepe for the great commentary and digestion of the overall picture.
There is so much to contemplate, and so little time.
Pepe’s insightful article on Lula’s victory in Brazil, and its meaning for the birth pangs of the multipolar world.
An essential look into the future.
https://asiatimes.com/2022/10/comeback-kid-lula-in-the-eye-of-a-volcano/
Lone Wolf
@ Jorge Vilches
And while you’re at it, you might want to revise your positions re: a short term war, which you defended a few months ago against many posters, including me, who argued the opposite, war will be long. Your argument was Europeans will rebel (not that term, but similar), or will stand up against the very conditions they are suffering as I write, inflation, cold, general submission to the empire’s whims.
IMHO, it is not about Europeans being brighter or not, there are many who are very aware of the current conditions and how they got there.
Lenin’s quote below, in my comment to Pepe highlighting Putin use of the “words of the classics,” in his Valdai monumental speech, says it better,
“…In most cases it is not enough for revolution that the lower classes should not want to live in the old way. It is also necessary that the upper classes should be unable to rule and govern in the old way…
Europe’s ruling elite is very much able to govern, for the time being, and to subject their population to sacrifices for the sake of supporting nazis. Thousands are marching in protests, in Moldova, Germany, Czech Republic, et al, demanding a change of government/government policies, at no avail.
Old bastard Europe (Trotsky), the European ruling elite, subservient to the neocon/neoliberal policies of the empire, are more than willing to go for a long war in their delusional attempts to defeat Russia.
Time to reevaluate not only Europeans’ “brightness,” also the objective conditions in which the ruling classes perpetuate their domination in Europe, vis-à-vis the war against Russia, which will be as long as the empire’s objectives remain unattained.
Putin’s joke about the German child asking his father why they are cold, fits the bill about Europeans’ acumen, or lack thereof.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad/17110
Lone Wolf
Lone Wolf, thanks for your valid comments and analysis.
I also truly welcome your most pertinent — and definetly needed — intellectual challenge to my very own personal thesis which, as you surely know, is not shared by anyone anywhere…
I have recently been following and thinking lots about the same topic and aspects that you are now bringing up. So my short & ready answer is ” YES you are 100% correct Lone Wolf… but NO… I do not ´revise´ my position nor foresee any need to do anything equivalent anytime soon”. Mind you, events are picking up fantastic speed lately.
BTW, I truly envy your extraordinary memory which — from my exclusive personal perspective at least — I must admit also flatters me… albeit without merit. The reason being that, whatever I may say or write, of course does not deserve such attention let alone your succint yet most vivid and precise description of what I posited and diagnosed — only in passing — many months ago.
I also fully agree with your brief description but — contrary to your suggestion — I double down on the outcome. Dear Lone Wolf, your comment prompts me to insist in that, come winter, this will be a ´short war´ that will — militarily at least — not extend much further. At least it will be far “shorter” than what was expected by absolutely everybody worldwide. Misery in EUrope will flourish and abound. I have not yet ran across anyone ever even suggesting anything along my line of thought, so I enjoy — yet again — absolute intellectual loneliness… while you — and all other posters — enjoy massive company, trust me.
BTW, the paragraph at hand is still 100% valid, mind you. Namely,
” …In most cases it is not enough for revolution that the lower classes should not want to live in the old way. It is also necessary that the upper classes should be unable to rule and govern in the old way…”
The “problem” is that such conclusion — normally valid 99% of the time — would not hold true in the event that the lower classes were so tremendously and harshly attacked in their “want to live the old way”… which they have been made to feel 101% entitled to per the ruling class doings (!!!) .. that they would thus be powerfull enough to overcome the “want of the upper classes to rule and govern in the old way”.
Addict´s logic: “You just cannot and will not take away from me the daily drug fix which YOU have made me addicted to. I will not allow that “…
My thesis could possibly be more understandable if we all agreed in the MAGNITUDE and DEPTH of hardships soon to come in what up until today was a flourishing consumer society with an enviable standard of living that would have to be surrendered instantly. Lights out folks. No water, no power, no food, no transportation…
Lone Wolf, you rightly say… ” Europe’s ruling elite is very much able to govern… for the time being…”
And THAT is their problem because what is now coming to ALL of them means that time is UP, expired, end of story, problems with an unexpected life of their own, massive migrations, people stepping on each other no matter how much “money” they may have even including very colorful pieces of paper with pictures of dead musicians or bizarre animals on their way to extinction…
No, the European population will NOT allow this HUGE level of sacrifices for the sake of supporting nazis in farway Donbass…The personal agenda of the 99% has no room for such tremendously deep and harsh modification for no real reason other than what the 1% now mistakingly says is required. The only requirement is our pitch-high standard of living, nothing less. Do your job ruling class or run the risk of being fired by the consumer society you turned us into.
Lone Wolf, you say…” there are many Europeans who are very aware of the current conditions and how they got there…” OKay, if that were the case then those at least are obviously not very bright either. If someone merrily approaches the end of a known waterfall and does nothing about it.. well such person does not qualify as very bright in my judgement scale.
EUropeans will change the current power structures and relationships ONLY when theory and philosophy time is 100% up (come winter) and down-to-earth reality makes them feel they have fully surrendered the economic means which got them there in the first place.
Putin´s joke plain shouts at Europeans in-their-face… ” It´s the economy, you STUPID fool ”
EUropeans just will not satisfy their belly-hunger eating fresh paper Euro bills printed by the ECB nor fuel their cars or industries with bits and bytes on a magnetic field of a CRT screen.
@ Jorge Vilches
I also truly welcome your most pertinent — and definetly needed — intellectual challenge to my very own personal thesis which, as you surely know, is not shared by anyone anywhere…
————————————————————-
I believe the “is not shared by anyone anywhere” is a stretch, as there were, and there are, many posters who have expressed the same position. Your post was one among many. Your pretended “isolation” reads more like prepping the grounds in case your thesis were to prove you right.
And I certainly hope you’re right, that the war in Ukraine gets to be a short one.
War is an ugly exercise, an endless pain locker that sacrifices lives and treasure for those engaged, human and material capital that could be used for societal development.
However, there are times in which war is upon us, and there is no choice but to confront the elements of destruction, as it happened to the former Soviet Union, and to its successor, Russia.
Awareness, or “brightness,” to use your term, is just but one element in the mobilization of any society against oppression. That awareness needs of social conditions to mature and grow into a social movement capable of creating changes. As we know, even if those conditions are given, it is not enough for a society to create change.
In your narrative, you assert Europeans’ lost comfort will be the trigger that will kickstart a movement against the ruling elites. Do not forget the same comfort has turned European societies into dormant entities, with no will of their own. Awareness of an oppressive condition, even in a society living through a “revolutionary situation,” will not be enough without the courage to confront the oppressors.
And here we enter into the realm of ideology.
Societies who believe they are “too important” to die, will not risk their lives for a cause, any cause.
A clear example of that was the 2006 Summer War between Israel and Hezbollah, a war prepared by the US and Israel to destroy Hezbollah, once and for all.
Israel, similarly to Ukraine now, launched a PR war being the winners, there were no Israeli losses, and soon the boys will be home, after reaching the Litani river and destroying Hezbollah. Meanwhile, Hezbollah’s news, radio/TV channel/internet, picked up by Israelis close to the border with Lebanon, was showing the long line of Merkava tanks destroyed, images of Israeli bodies wholesale.
Israelis turned their TV channels to Hezbollah’s Al Manar, watching their relatives dead on TV, soon after protests against the government, which had promised a short, devastating war on Hezbollah, spread all over Israel. The war that Condoleezza Rice heralded as “the birth pang of the New Middle East” came to an end in shame for Israel, forced to sign a truce without any gains, back to their borders where they started.
Israeli society showed they have no stomach to see their children die, they are “too important” for that. Israel’s enemies, Hezbollah/Iran/Syria, now know that is Israel’s Achilles’ heel.
Same with European societies.
They have been too domesticated and tamed to die at the trenches with pitchforks. They will patiently wait, cold and hungry, for the subsidies their governments will dispense to keep them quiet and in submission. There will be sporadic eruptions, no doubt, as we have seen many so far, without coming to fruition.
In your long answer, you forgot the elephant in the room, the Empire of Lies, Death, and Deceit.
Europeans are pawns in a confrontation between the decadent, declining Collective West, and the Multipolar World forces lead by Russia and China. We can be sure preparations have been made all across Europe to crush in blood any attempts to subvert the status quo, as it happened with the Yellow Vests in France, and the most recent peasant movement in Holland.
Putin’s declaration of a “revolutionary moment,” is a call to arms to the European people to take their destiny in their own hands. Hope they would, seriously doubt they can. Over the years? Maybe, a very dubious maybe, not in the short term. The stranglehold on them is too strong, their ruling classes will alleviate their pain throwing them crumbs, as usual, but will never cure their illness, themselves and their puppet master, the Empire of Lies, Death, and Deceit.
For that, they need an aspirin the size of Russia.
Lone Wolf
PS: Been dusting off Gramsci’s concept of “hegemony,” more exactly, “cultural hegemony,” extremely helpful to understand the current interregnum and the European conundrum. Gramsci’s link between “ideology” and “hegemony” is crucial to grasp Europe’s pathetic, hopeless, irredeemable condition. Europe’s future, as Italy is now showing, is nazi-fascism. Germans are now auctioning off any and all Russian works of art, which will then be burned, the auction proceedings going to Ukraine to kill Russians. They are walking on the footsteps of their nazi ancestors. Nauseating, really. Long war? Unfortunately, that will be the case.
@Lone Wolf
Thank you for your considerate reply.
No hard feelings whatsoever Lone Wolf, but regarding the very first sentence/quote, I am not aware or have ever come across anyone anywhere positing that this war will be short. As you seem to have, if all possible please do share with us any source or comment in that respect.
You say…”… I believe the ´is not shared by anyone anywhere´ is a stretch, as there were, and there are, many posters who have expressed the same position. Your post was one among many…”… (???)
I read some 12 to 15 hours a day every single day on this very topic and during the past 9 months I have not ever seen or heard of anything along such line of thought… all on the contrary.
Furthermore, “awareness” in this case is just part of being bright. Because besides being ´aware´ people need to react accordingly in order to be bright. Some / many in Europe today may / might be ´aware´ (sorta) of circumstances but they are not reacting accordingly… probably because they are not really REALLY really aware truly AWARE of what´s coming to them shortly in depth and magnitude. In a nutshell, it´d be hell… and as I point out above there is where I probably differ from everyone else. Otherwise not reacting accordingly would be plain bananas… and Europeans are not bananas, not yet at least. Yellow Vests reacted to “inconveniences” compared to what Europe will look and feel like in a few weeks time. That´s my thesis, not anything else. Lack of “comfort” is not what I´m talking about. I´m talking about hell.
Cordially, Jorge
”The economy of imaginary wealth is being inevitably replaced by the economy of real and hard assets”
President Putin 17 June, 2022