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σπεῦδε βραδέως, festina lente.
A classic example of this principle. Russia is acting with due diligence, focus, and attention to detail in order to avoid mistakes and finish a task more expeditiously overall. Make haste slowly seems an oxymoron but the way this SMO is being conducted will end up proving the rule, IMHO.
I saw this article some days ago and thought it should be posted. I’m not sure of it.
Serbian President Vucic: “I know what awaits us. As soon as Vladimir Putin has done his work in Seversk, Bakhmut and Soledar, after reaching the second line Slaviansk-Kramatorsk-Avdeevka, he will come up with a proposal. And if they [the West] don’t accept it, – and they won’t – all hell will break loose.”
Slow is smooth.
Smooth is fast.
I see Russian Telegram channels are calling for the same actions I’ve advocated for months now:
It is necessary to revive “SMERSH” – death to spies, the legendary Russian organization to combat espionage.
The Russian Guard detained two employees of the Zaporizhzhya NPP who collaborated with the militants of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
They transmitted data on the location of personnel and equipment on the territory of the station.
Two previous accomplices were detained on August 17 and are accused of correcting the strikes of Zelensky’s terrorists on the territory of the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant.
https://t.me/vicktop55/5896
Why shouldn’t they be kept in the place where nuclear waste is stored? Let them enjoy what they wanted to inflict on others.
This is somewhat unrealistic since if that plant was under my security l the coordinates and location of buildings and items in them would exist in Kiev. Maybe the spies passed information on coming and going of the Russian military???
They were calling hits, artillery corrections.
The gunner can know where a target is but cannot necessarily know where his shells are hitting. So, shoot and then correct fire using a forward observer or some sort to correct fire, “up fifty” or “left fifty” or whatever to tell the gunner where the shell hit in relation to the target. Every powder load and shell is a little bit different. The range is 35 miles or more (any closer and the Russians obliterate them) and it is tough to hit the same place twice. The gun moves every time it is fired, the weather is slightly different, winds change, the shell goes several thousand feet into the air before dropping onto the target, etc. Lots of variables that keep changing.
Only a small minority in Russia wants to live with NKVD/Smersh controlling everything.
That ship has sailed.
And, besides, the FSB is doing a rather superb job.
The main problem is that the LDNR security services still suck….
Rather shocking that some Nut-jobs screech for a return to the Stalin-Beria days… Are they evil or just very, very uneducated/”exceptional”?
I see the trend by the Lamestream talking heads but surely the ones on social media must be plants by the usual suspects or just their mama´s “special” boys? Insanity on a whole new level.
First of all, it was pretty irresponsible, not to say dumb, from Russia to let the “old” employees stay on the site and continue maintaining the minimal operations of the nuclear plant. Russia had to bring their own people/experts to operate the plant. You cannot trust even a family member when it comes to working in a nuclear plant Did Russia really think that none of those people would not be working for the Nazis?
and where do you want to get people for such job? All available people are needed elsewhere.
ZNPP is a unique plant.
You can’t just bring in a whole new crew and operate it like a turnkey operation. It is absolutely necessary for the old crew to continue on for some time while training the new crew, because it’s a unique, and nuclear power plants, while having some things in common due to the nature of the premise (nuclear fission generates heat to create steam to turn turbines which turn generators) are in no way standardized, unless part of a series of plants all built to the exact same design.
The real frontlines are tree-lined trenches and fortified boxes tucked next to and under houses. This war is now fought with drones, many just simple small quadcopters using apps on phones, standoff artillery form 15-20 km from the ‘front’.
The other day, the MOD reported 700 target areas from near Crimea to north of Kharkiv.
Maps are obtuse references. This war is fought in clashes often just 100 meters distance.
Maps don’t show 50,000 Russian artillery shells daily pounding the Ukies at the frontlines.
We look at maps, take note of areas in broad strokes, but war is fought settlement and village at a time. This is fought meter by meter, wall by wall, garden by garden, tree line by tree line, and field by field.
The reason the MOD is prosecuting the SMO at a careful pace is to save troops, to protect civilians and to minimize destruction of infrastructure. This strategy is working. Russia is liberating the land and the people and the Ukie military is being destroyed.
The war is like water crashing upon stone. Eventually, the stone is reshaped.
Perfect analysis.
And the time it takes is playing to Russia’a advantage.
The Ukie Military is on the verge of revolt.
Europe and the US economies are crashing.
I don’t think it is to Russia’s advantage as the Donbass is getting pummeled everyday – much destruction and civilians far from the front lines being killed everyday. The Donbass people are the buffer or speed bump which stopped Ukraine from being in NATO already, so Russia needs to get much more serious about protecting it.
…much destruction and civilians far from the front lines being killed everyday.
Sometimes when people kindly put sitrep maps on our screen, it pays to look closely and do some homework involving some simple calculations.
For instance many Ukrainian missiles originate from the area around Avdiivka which is only 15 km from Donetsk city as the crow flies. You could walk from Avdiivka to Donetsk city, so it’s hardly ‘far from the front lines.’
Next question: why don’t the Russians do something about it?
Answer: they are. Read RF MoD briefing notes.
‘Encirclement of AFU grouping near Avdeevka continues. 214th OPFOR Battalion – elite AFU unit is blockaded on three sides near Kodema and is being routinely destroyed.’
https://t.me/mod_russia_en/3667
Right. I see the exact same comment every day on this website. You are a troll.
Each death, each maiming, is a tragedy.
And yet, how many people in Donetsk are killed daily by cancer, by drunk driving, by heart condition, from traffic accidents?
Moreover, these deaths harden the resolve of the people to make the necessary sacrifices to buy their freedom. If they’d rather live under tyranny or threat of sudden death than send their men off to do what it takes to earn their freedom the hard way, than I pity them but I won’t lose sleep over their fate.
Every human in history gives little value and no gratitude for any gift handed to them. If Russia sacrificed and did it herself instead of helping Donetsk do it, then they’d quickly forget the prices paid for their freedom and in less than a generation they’d piss away all their freedom and security for empty promises.
Any person with more than two brain cells should be able to see these facts.
“And yet, how many people in Donetsk are killed daily by cancer, by drunk driving, by heart condition, from traffic accidents?”
So you compare natural deaths are accidents which are part of living, with murders by terrorists?
“Moreover, these deaths harden the resolve of the people to make the necessary sacrifices to buy their freedom. If they’d rather live under tyranny or threat of sudden death than send their men off to do what it takes to earn their freedom the hard way, than I pity them but I won’t lose sleep over their fate.”
These people have been living with it for over 8 years and they have been fighting the whole time. They have lost a lot of fighters and are still losing fighters. But they are a small population compared to the rest of Ukraine and they will be genocided if this keeps up for years. They are being killed at a faster rate than before Russia’s SMO.
Then you have the children and women who do have to leave for Russia to live a healthy and safe life.
I am not a troll: I want Russia and the Donbass people to win. I really, really do. But it’s people on here that are not being realistic and who are very cavalier about the destruction and death of those in Donbass.
There’s even an interview posted on telegram with a Russian commander who does not refer to Ukraine’s Air Force as “destroyed”. He refers to it as “partially defeated”, and what’s more he says they are trying to revive it.
Absolutely correct.
That is why I stopped posting maps.
But today, I just wanted to make a quickshot of the frontlines available.
But you are 100% correct, at this point in time even good maps are rather misleading.
I come to your site daily, did not know it existed before the SMO. I try to gather info from many sides, and not jump to conclusions, and the Vineyard helps with this. Question – why no recent video from Mr. Lira? Thank you.
Quad-copters, cell phone apps, and playstations I’m sure. I’m 63 and did not know what an X-Box was until a twelve year old told me a couple years ago. They are better at these things than we older folks are. Maybe that is why the battles are taking so long??? grrrr.
Interslava Z published a long statement that proposing conversion of shopping malls into drone assembly lines. ZALA AERO already produced KUB, Lancet-1, and Lancet 2 drones. They have since manufactured interceptor drones that essentially serve as aerial mines.
Given the success of drones to drop explosives into Ukrainian trenches, fortifications are rapidly becoming obsolete given the Russian approach to war.
I think that besides the advantages that you’ve listed – protect civilians, Russian troops, and infrastructure – the slow pace is also clearly best for Russia’s geostrategic goal of multipolarity.
At the beginning of March, I wrote that the conflict in Ukraine would be inevitable “Syrianization”. Not everyone agreed with this, but six months into the conflict it became clear.
1. Fronts with city-bastions take shape and stabilize.
2. The enemy falls more and more and systematically into purely terrorist methods of warfare.
3. The size of the theater of operations exceeds the forces available on both sides, despite all efforts to form groupings.
4. The supply of foreign weapons plays an important role in maintaining the intensity of the conflict when it is impossible to completely block the channels of these supplies.
5. The high proportion of the role of foreign mercenaries and special services in the organization of enemy activities.
6. Inevitable provocations in the spirit of the “White Helmets” and playing the WMD card.
7. Complete paralysis of the negotiation process due to the will of the sponsors of the conflict to achieve their objectives at all costs.
8. Terrorist attacks in Russian cities, committed by terrorists who present territorial claims to Russia.
II.
1. This is not a direct comparison, Ukraine is Syria at top speed. The fighting on its territory will continue for a long time, destroying what is still left of Ukraine. From an economic point of view, Ukraine, like Syria, is headed for disaster. A significant portion of its infrastructure will simply be destroyed as part of the chosen war format. Systematically, something will be rebuilt only in the territories under the control of the Russian Federation, which Russia considers its own.
2. It can also be guaranteed that the CTO regime will operate for a long time in the liberated territories and that inside the country the terrorist attacks of the Nazis will rival the terrorist attacks of the Islamists.
III.
1. For Russia, as well as for the United States, this is not only a war for the control of territories, but also a struggle for the configuration of the future world order, where the survival of the Ukraine as a state is not important, because as well as the economic survival of Europe, which is not an actor of the current changes, but their victim.
2. Just as the war in Syria reshaped the entire Middle East, the war in Ukraine will reshape the existing world order. For the Russian Federation, as well as for the United States, this is not a sprint, but a rest distance, for which one must be prepared (although this cannot yet be said for the whole of society and States), as well as for the continuation of hostilities during the winter, spring and summer of 2023.
Let me remind you that Palmyra was taken in March 2016, Aleppo – in December 2016, Deir ez-Zor was liberated in September 2017. And Idlib has not been taken so far. It is to the frequent question of the rhythm and to whine “why so slow”.
3. As in Syria, in Ukraine we are not only at war against the army of local terrorists. Behind them, as in Syria, stands our main enemy – the United States and its European satellites. Consequently, the conflict turned into a grueling confrontation not only on the streets of Soledar or Marinka, but also on the economic and political battlefields for the future world order.
4. The task of the Russian Federation is both simple and complex – to resist this confrontation and achieve its goals. For this, considerable efforts will have to be made by the State and society. The laxity and underestimation of the threats of our enemies, which constantly raise the stakes, must find an adequate response. It will no longer be possible to return to the departure station or press the shut-off valve. Having assumed increased obligations and acting as a historically sovereign country, the Russian Federation simply has no choice but to move forward towards achieving its goals.
Russian army must be commended for protecting civilian life as they push through the heavily defended Donetsk. They must eventually move at least 300 miles west of Donetsk border to ensure their future safety. Finally it may ultimately be necessary to conquer the whole of Ukraine as we are dealing with mad men here.
Why is there no key on what the shaded regions represent? Like what does the light orange mean – the Donbass areas under control of the DPR, while the pink is Russian army? And what were the map lines 4 months ago for comparison?
Four months ago the Ukies still controlled the Severodonetsk region. But now it’s under Russian control. That’s the only change that’s occurred since May.
The Ukraine’s army suffered catastrophically high casualties in the battles near Severodonetsk. Western MSM – which normally suppresses any hint of Ukie KIA and WIA – widely reported these losses. That means the truth must have been quite grim for the Nazis.
Based on Kiev’s self-admitted combat deaths in that sector, the Nazi military suffered higher daily killed and wounded than did the US at the height of the Vietnam War. I read that in the NYT, which normally peddles pro-Nazi propaganda.
They’re saying this is now a war of attrition. That’s what counts more than changes in the front lines. It’s all about the casualties.
I’m not a military expert, but it’s my hunch that the Nazis have burned through their first rate troops. They’re probably relying on second and third rate conscripts. Kiev may have lost all hope of assuming the offensive.
By looking at these maps, many imagine that Russians are trying to break an impenetrable fortress and fail. In reality, Ukrainians are pouring waves of brainwashed useful idiots onto a firewall that Russians slowly push in front of their troops. Why would Russia sacrifice its youth in a heroic, but mindless, charge on a well entrenched defender? Just to “finish the job” quicker. That was the Western plan from the day one.
Conquering Ukraine fast, at huge cost in Russian lives. With minimal losses for Ukronazis, so they can mount guerilla war after truce is signed. No energy crisis for the West, business as usual would continue in no time, but just for them.
Russia would be bogged into an Afghan-like quagmire for decades, sanctioned.
Everyone has a plan, until they get punched in the face.
Russia deliberately targets units that it considers Nazi-infested. There is only so much Nazis in Ukraine. In one moment, they will be exterminated to the point it will be impossible to enforce their rule over Ukrainians. Regular Ukies do not have to love Russians to revolt against extremist minority that force them into Russian firewall.
Will NATO step in? Hardly. Mind that Ukraine HIMARSes and 777s can be effective ONLY while West is out of conflict, but actively supports its proxy army. Let me clarify this. Without AWACS and Aegis, Ukrainian air defense and artillery would be useless. If West openly enters conflict, none of those would exist for more than an hour. That is the sole reason why NATO desperately wants to avoid direct involvement.
I hope that, in following days, Russia will politely ask for immediate removal of all NATO radars and surveillance aircrafts far away from Ukraine borders.
Either that, or “military-technical measures”.
Exactly. I long for the day the Russian Aerospace force eliminates the 24/7 targeting of Russians by US Navy P-8 and P-3 aircraft and British U-2s and US satellites. Aiming the AFU guns and missiles and setting up ambushes that kill Russians seems to be to be direct NATO involvement, but perhaps the Russians are gaining some valuable data of NATO reconnaissance methods. There might be somethings they don’t already know.
One hour? I wonder how long it would take for NATO fighters to respond to Su-35s shooting down the low altitude USN aircraft and the Mig-30 taking out the U-2s beyond visual range (BVR)? I think it would take about 20 minutes to end the recon flights around Ukraine, less if the S-400 was used instead of the aircraft.
What was the life expectancy of the US Navy surface fleet in the event the US attacked Russia? I think that was about an hour. One Kinzhal missile per carrier is what I heard back in 2018 and I don’t think anything has changed except western propaganda claiming the Russians don’t really have the hardware Putin unveiled in 2018.
Recently the Russians claimed significant successes at Peski, in Donbass. We can assume this is true. That’s because the Ukies admited some sort of “tactical retreat, or what they call a “minor reversal.” Kiev never acknowledges defeat unless the facts are so dire that the truth cannot be hidden.
More interesting is the Russian claim of victories near Nikolayev, at the village of Blagodatnoe. However, as best as I know, these reports have not yet been confirmed.
If the Blagodatnoe news is true, that would be remarkable. In this sector, the Nazis are supposed to be on the offensive, not Russia.
Personally, I’ve always believed Kiev’s “Kherson counter-offensive” is just puffery. The Russians gutted the Ukie infantry in June at Lugansk. That’s why I think the Ukies now lack offensive capabilities. I wouldn’t be surprised if the Blagodatnoe reports are confirmed soon.
Russia must target Western Ukrainian infrastructure…not to do so is negligence.
The U.S will have to sign bigger checks if Russia did hit the infrastructure and that money could not all go to weapons because repairing power stations is expensive.
Yes, Shockski and Aweski are required if the Russians want to end this thing quickly. 50 to 75 missiles leveling all the main west ukie power substations would take down the power grid….no modern society functions without lighting, without communications, without internet, without transportation, without commerce. A mass exodus of half the population would overwhelm the euroweanie satraps. Those remaining would be looting and killing each other. The ukie nazis could all relocate to south Florida where they would fit in easily. Joolenski and his oligarch pals could all relocate to tel aviv. The unsupplied ukie army disintegrates. Capitualation within a month. Substations easily and cheaply rebuilt. Power grid back up. Refugees return to their homes. New management behaves themselves. The choice is Shockski and Aweski, or a long costly grinding war followed by an even longer guerilla war.
Kids in hospital, premie babies, people on oxygen, people on life support…..turn the power off sounds great if you are going to bed.
Cheers M
CIA is asshole. Nuff said. Go home and rig some more elections.
Despite the latest developments, and the month-old rumor of a “shock-and-awe” around the corner…. I suspect no relevant move will be done by Russia barring some really extraordinary provocation by Kiev/Nato.
Putin dug it’s heels on the ground and is making a point of not escalating “no matter what”. Well… it’s his choice and how long he will be able to keep this up, and even if in light of the broader conflict looming against US/nato this is really the wisest strategy, remains to be seem.
My guess is Russia hopes that when donbass falls, there will be some posture-change by the US and some kind of negotiation will be possible. I surely hope that Putin is not betting on that outcome, because I’m convinced that there will be NO compromise with the US ever. And when Putin realizes this, that no matter what, the US will keep using Kiev to inflict pain and damage to Russia ad eternum, the same Kiev that Russia is, contrary to traditional warfare logic, making a huge effort to keep intact with all it’s leaders and decision centers….well…. then things will snap for sure.
The cumulative shit Russia is swallowing so far, avoiding any “sudden moves” with all it’s restraint etc, is likely predicated on the expectation that the economic pressure in Europe + the de facto victory on the donbass will force a posture change by the west to some kind of new status-quo that is manageable by Russia.
And I’m sure the US will make a point to guarantee that NO “manageable” outcome is EVER reached in Ukraine for Russia, forcing it keep reacting until bled dry as the US intends to, OR Russia will bring the fight direct to the instigators.
In about 6 months Russia will understand that a fight(soon, not 10-20 years in the future) with US/Nato is unavoidable and that’s when we will see serious preparations by Russia for a big scale war, not inside Ukraine but globally. If the Taiwan situation doesn’t blow-up this year, then next year for sure everything will line-up for the kinetic phase of WW3.
“expectation that the economic pressure in Europe + the de facto victory on the donbass will force a posture change by the west to some kind of new status-quo that is manageable by Russia”
No doubt the Russian government has considered this and the alternative. It seems to me that when Putin and his allies stabilised Russian sovereignty, they knew that there would one day be a reckoning with the US state and began to prepare. The Chechen Wars seem to have been the catalyst in producing a fine war fighting army and the industrial base to support it. The prompt annexation of Crimea and the rescue of Syria demonstrated that the Russian armed forces were very good and that the model of a modest supplement to the indigenous military forces was successful. The withholding of the vast bulk of the Russian forces from Ukraine looks like it has kept the Seppoes in check; the economic resilience of the Russian economy and the restiveness of the colonials in the southern hemisphere add to their woes. A minor joker is the behaviour of the Euro and British populations as they pay for US imperial aggression. Regards
Obviously Putin knows there will be no mutual diplomatic solution with Russia’s major geopolitical interests in mind.
Russia is likely just biding its time working on improving and preparing its own internal (and external) military and economic affairs and infrastructure for any bigger showdown in the future — an opportunity given to it by the West that’s being preoccupied less with actually winning the Ukraine conflict quickly and more so with simply leveraging it just for money laundering/embezzlement and as a prelude to the NWO (totalitarian government control over all sectors of life).
Hence, any “major provocations” in this whole SMO, by either side, at least in the short term, seem rather unlikely. Putin seems content with the steady tepid pace of territorial gains by Russia, nor with Russia’s said “slow progress” does NATO see any reason to itself physically rush and jump into there with its own battalions to halt that “slow” advance by the Russian forces.
How on earth did the Ukrops get these guns and manage to move them to Kiev?
https://twitter.com/DefenceU/status/1560933336557801472?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1560933336557801472%7Ctwgr%5E%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https://www.businessinsider.com/ukraine-trolls-putin-with-kyiv-victory-parade-of-captured-russian-tanks-2022-8
(Shorter URL if you use a cellphone: https://bit.ly/3CvpGOM )
You know, everything after the ? (including the ?) in your long link, is useless. It actually contains information about you, like in which site you found it, not the tweet itself.
The actual tweet is that
https://twitter.com/DefenceU/status/1560933336557801472
The tweet is itself useless. Twitter is junk for twits.
On 404 “independence day”
————————————–
https://twitter.com/Jonker682/status/1562585288081571842/photo/1
Georgi Zhukov on the liberation of Berlin:
“We liberated Europe from fascism, but they will never forgive us for it.”
Lone Wolf
Can anyone explain why Russia cannot destroy the artillery which is bombing the Zhaporizhe NPP?
First, you need to find out why the most god awful military alliance in human history, in shape of a 30 member country organization called NATO, is unable to stop the Russian Federation advance in where Russia is completely outnumbered by NATO and its proxies while taking less than a tenth in human losses. The answer to your question lies squarely therein.
@ John1 on August 24, 2022 · at 9:32 pm EST/EDT
Can anyone explain why Russia cannot destroy the artillery which is bombing the Zhaporizhe NPP?
—————————————————————————
How many times do we have to go over the same question from multiple posters?
The Saker has explained it, Andrei Martyanov has elaborated on the issue many times in several videos, many other posters have addressed it, including myself.
UkroWerhmacht artillery has been criminally placed in cities and towns, next to residential areas, multi-family buildings, schools, kindergartens, hospitals. Many residents in the freed areas of Donbass have relatives in the regions occupied by the Ukronazis, among them fighters in the DPR/LPR militias. They are fighting to free their loved ones from nazi slavery, however, they don’t want to destroy their towns in order to save their relatives.
Martyanov explained this issue by saying Russia could turn all of Ukraine into a parking lot in a couple of hours, what would be the purpose of that?
The Saker has elaborated on the issue too, pointing out the blood links between the inhabitants of the region.
I posted a long comment about the same issue re: Donetsk.
To All Posters Complaining About Why the Allied Forces Cannot Stop the Shelling of Donetsk
https://thesaker.is/open-thread-9/#comment-1103149
———————————————————————-
Not the same location, but it touches upon similar points.
Back to the Zaporozhie NPP.
Here is a recent article that elaborates on the issue.
https://m.vz.ru/society/2022/8/23/1174008.html
What are the goals of the attack on Nikolaev
“…The capture of Mykolaiv will mean an end to the attacks coming from here on the city of Kherson, on the strategically important Antonovsky Bridge over the Dnieper, on the Energodar in the Zaporizhia region and the Zaporizhia NPP, Shesler emphasizes. In addition, the interlocutor believes that the liberated Nikolaev can become part of a hypothetical security belt from Mariupol to Transnistria – which will also protect the Crimea from the constant threat of Ukrainian shelling…”
————————————————————————–
Read on.
Lone Wolf
A really important Military Summary Channel video today. Listen especially to his reports on what his friends in Ukraine are telling him:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BU8nXCJoPFM
War at it’s most horrible.The Ukie’s retreat not even trying to take their dead with them. Which bears witness to the story from today on the Military Summary Channel that I posted a little while ago.
This video is not for the frail of heart 18+:
https://rumble.com/v1h1ga5-donbass-extreme-swinery-en-route-to-the-winery-special-reportage-part-22.html?fbclid=IwAR39azvNp9bq9YnJawcWgVNU7QaOzRPzBlZtOs4J4Uq7xoN92sQWWp31Sj8
@ The Saker on August 24, 2022 · at 2:38 pm EST/EDT
Absolutely correct.
That is why I stopped posting maps.
But today, I just wanted to make a quickshot of the frontlines available.
But you are 100% correct, at this point in time even good maps are rather misleading.
————————————————————————————–
I respectfully disagree.
I believe it is wrong to dismiss maps as “obtuse references,” as it is to believe maps are an actual representation of the battlefield. Yes, even good maps are far from being accurately objective. However, a war without maps would be the equivalent of walking blindly through a battlefield, any battlefield.
Maps are part of the hybrid war, on this and any war. For example, by comparing Russian battlefield maps with neo-con ISW, or shamelessly pro-nazi LiveMap, one can follow the trajectory of their projection into the MSM, which reproduces their estimates, and vice versa.
I keep four or five maps open, including the two above, and it is entertaining to see pictures of the Allied forces in any taken city or town, Victory Banner flying on the town’s “Reichstag,” while ISW and LiveMap are competing to see which one delays more painting the entire city red.
It was following Donbass battles on maps for the last eight years I got to familiarize with the geography of this area of Ukraine, and with the suffering of the people, by pinpointing the cities and towns where shelling was killing them in “cease fire” violations, or by following battles such as the Debaltsevo cauldron.
The nature of the SMO is different, is that of a grinding war, which fits Russia’s goals to demilitarize and denazify Ukraine. Advances are slow, they are to serve the goals of the SMO. Yury Podolyaka, in his daily briefing for “independence day” called it “A monotonous, painstaking work” on most of the contact line.
In this kind of war, a map cannot show great gains as in the large expanses of WWII.
No map can tell us the significance of Wagner PMC having taken the eastern side of Patrice Lumumba street in Artemivsk (Bakhmut), because the street, the town, and the battle, have no meaning for most people.
The resonance of the grinding Wagner PMC is doing, however, will be felt later, and then it will be worth it of a place on a map.
“I know what awaits us. As soon as Vladimir Putin has done his work in Seversk, Bakhmut and Soledar, after reaching the second line Slaviansk-Kramatorsk-Avdeevka, he will come up with a proposal. And if they [the West] don’t accept it, – and they won’t – all hell will break loose.”
Aleksandar Vučić’s
——————————
Following on a map the Allies maneuvering that broke the so much cackled “counter offensive” is a great aid for understanding Russia’s Way of War. Ukrainians were told by their UK bosses the Allies were to attack Krivyi Rih before heading to Nikolaev, which forced them to fortify their defenses (Krivyi Rih is already allegedly a “fortress”). To their surprise, the Allies moved along the coast, took Oleksandrivka and neighboring towns, and started creeping up north from there on their way to Nikolaev.
It is so satisfying to look at a map with almost the entire southern coastline painted red, a stone throw from Odessa.
It is not the purpose for war maps to depict a battlefield with absolute accuracy, as some people expect.
The purpose of a battlefield map is to be a guide, an approximation through which we can go deeper into the intricacies of any war.
Lone Wolf
Ukraine’s “independence day” and the so-called “battle of Kiev”
————————————————————————————
During “independence day,” Ukroreich has been braying about the “battle of Kiev” in which they “defeated” the Russians and forced them out of the capital city.
There was no such a thing.
Marinus, an anonymous USMC retired officer, elaborates on the battles that took place around Kiev, and their significance for the overall SMO. Kiev was a diversionary move all along, to keep Ukronazis forces tied up while the Allies positioned themselves in the south, the real target.
Who is Marinus? Nobody knows.
It is suspected he is “USMC Lt. Gen. (ret) Paul K. Van Riper, a long-revered champion of many Marines, and a prominent proponent of the so-called “Maneuverists” – a school of military thought strongly influenced by the work of the incomparable military strategist John R. Boyd.”
The first paper was written in June, 2022, the second one has no date.
I downloaded the first one, “The Russian Invasion of Ukraine, Part I: The Physical Campaign” from a source I cannot disclose, you can google for it.
There is a link below for the second one.
Both papers can be read independently.
https://www.imetatronink.com/2022/08/a-former-us-marine-corps-officers.html
The Russian Invasion of Ukraine
Part II: The mental and moral realms
Maneuverist Paper No. 22: by Marinus
Lone Wolf
Russia should map the border between 404 and Poland.
1 single inch on the 404 side of that border, Russia should destroy every last wireless communication antenna station, and every last telephone and electricity wire.
Sweep from west to east, BUT START IN THE WEST at the border with Poland, and destroy every last bit of communication and energy infrastructure. Wherever any radio signal propagates out of WESTERN Ukraine should get a good bombing. The second any weapons system passes out of Poland into Ukraine, it gets a bombing.
If Russia had done this 6 months ago, the war would be over now.
More on the “diversionary blow to Kiev” countering the lies of the Ukroreich.
https://voenhronika.ru/publ/vojna_na_ukraine/plan_osennego_nastuplenija_rossijskoj_armii_uzhe_izvestno_gde_i_kak_zakonchitsja_bitva_za_donbass_2022/60-1-0-12885
Plan of the autumn offensive of the Russian Army. It is already known where and how the battle for Donbass will end (2022)
When conducting an offensive, it is necessary to organize many breakthroughs of various scales and different widths. It will not be possible to simply take and collect all kinds of troops in a heap, in any case they will have to be dispersed along the front in accordance with the standards.
Consequently, breakthroughs in different areas will be distributed along the front. The point here is to disperse all the forces and fire of the enemy on these breakthroughs. At one point, the enemy will have to choose which breakthrough to inflict an artillery strike on and where to urgently transfer reinforcements. Next, about 4 options for how to step on “trampled fingers”.
The most numerous armies of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation with a divisional-regimental structure: the 5th, 20th, 58th and 8th. The last three of them at the beginning of the SVO were assembled in the Donbas against the key grouping of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. From the south the 58th, from the front of the LDNR the 8th, from the north the 20th and 1st Tank.
As it is not difficult to guess, the Kiev direction of the offensive was really a distraction. He was attacked by 1/5 of the force that went to the Donbass. Previous video by the author: “A diversionary blow to Kiev – it really was! The BRILLIANT plan of the Russian military worked” (2022)
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Lone Wolf
I cannot begin to tell you how angry I got when I saw the Ukrops are making blood red cakes with the images of killed Russian soldiers or their family members. That is beyond contempt.
This all could have been brought to a quick end if Putin dropped the Avangard (w/o a nuclear warhead) right on Zelenski during yesterday’s celebration. Bright white plasma ball would simply have vaporized this scum bag and put the fear of God into Ukraine.
Shame.
RB, what are the “blood red cakes” you refer to?
Cheers.
https://t.me/denazi_UA/18429
🇺🇦 Cannibalistic Features of Ukrainian Propaganda
Since 2014, events have taken place in the Ukrainian cultural space that shocked Russians and were discussed by the federal media. The first such story was a cake in the form of a “Russian baby” , which was eaten at the BarHot Kiev bar in December 2014.
But if until 2022 such cases were isolated, then since February they have become a system. Cakes with photographs of killed Russian servicemen are sold in Kiev . These photographs are framed in red cream so they look bloody. Recently, cakes with photographs of the mothers and wives of the victims have appeared in the Ukrainian capital.
Russian military personnel.
The reason for the spread of such “game” in Ukraine lies, first of all, in the propaganda of the dehumanization of Russians, which is cultivated by the Zelensky regime. Since the beginning of the CBO, LOM groups have been created in large Ukrainian cities , whose duties include posting such “thrash” content on their social networks.
These can be “jokes” on the theme of ” Kobzon’s concerts, which are sold out thanks to Russian military personnel ” or similar “humor”. LOMs, members of regional networks, set the tone for their audience, legalizing murder and violence against all total Russians. For such “work” the participants of the grid received little money.
Therefore, the thesis that the Russian army is fighting only individual nationalists does not stand up to scrutiny. Unfortunately, many people are infected with the virus of violence in Ukraine . And these are not individual people with a shifted psyche, this is a conscious policy of the authorities.
#politics #Ukraine
@rybar